FNUS74 KLIX 201924 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 224 PM CDT THU MAY 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 19Z A 1008MB SFC LOW WAS OVER SOUTHEASTERN KS WHILE 1018MB SFC HIGH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES. 7MB PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF WITH 1015MB ALONG THE FL PENINSULA TO 1008 MB ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST. THIS IS PROVIDING LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW. SFC PRESSURE OVER THE SPOT LOCATION IS 1013MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LAND AREAS. GENERAL RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MARINE AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .WIND PROFILE... 19Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 8KT 250FT... S 9KT 500FT... S 10KT 1KFT... S 13KT 2KFT... S 19KT 3KFT... S 19KT 4KFT... S 13KT 5KFT... S 12KT MAX WIND...259/47KT 43.6KFT. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE THROUGH ENTIRE COLUMN. NEUTRAL LAPSE RATE 4100 TO 6700 FT....P.W. 1.40 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 201751Z AUTO 10SM CLR 29/23 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP140 T02940233 10300 20256 58002 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 201802Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM CLR 31/21 A2993 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 201751Z 16010G16KT 10SM SCT023 BKN038 28/23 A2992 METAR KIPN 201750Z AUTO 16005KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 201755Z AUTO 16009KT 9SM CLR 28/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 201800Z AUTO 18011KT 10SM 28/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 201755Z AUTO 16011KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 201755Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM FEW021 29/23 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR LCL MVFR SCT/BKN030...ISOLD TSTMS 18-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW/SCT 020-030...ISO SHRA 18Z-02Z. TAF KHUM 201740Z 2018/2118 16007KT P6SM SCT030 SCT250 FM202100 16008KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB SCT250 FM210100 16005KT P6SM SCT250 FM210900 15004KT 6SM BR SCT020 TEMPO 2110/2112 5SM BR KHSA 201739Z 2018/2118 17011KT P6SM BKN025 BKN035 FM202200 16007KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB BKN250 FM210200 16005KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM211000 00000KT 3SM BR SCT015 FM211430 18008KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT030. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. .RADAR...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A TRHUNDERSTORM WERE OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 18 KTS. OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.65 FT AT 1406 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.69 AT 1AM CDT. WYCM6 1.98 FT AT 1353 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 81.5F .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 80 80 80 RH..............74 74 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 33 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 78 77 77 77 77 RH..............76 79 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 8 SE 7 SE 9 SE 8 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2200 2200 2100 2000 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 670 670 640 610 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 62 52 42 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 78 79 80 80 80 RH..............85 82 79 77 77 77 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 2000 2000 2200 2100 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 610 610 670 640 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100520.DEEPW.09/LIX