FNUS76 KLOX 210105 FWSLOX SPOT FORECAST FOR ATOC-STAGE 8...VCFD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 605 PM PDT THU MAY 20 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1200 PDT ON MAY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME MODEL UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. IF THE UPPER LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA THEN THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON...OR POSSIBLY EVEN A THUNDERSTORM. IF THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER EAST...THEN JUST SOME CLOUDINESS CAN BE EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME WE ARE FORECASTING PRECIPITATION CHANCES OF LESS THAN 15 PERCENT. AFTERNOON WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE... ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL ON SUNDAY...WITH SOMEWHAT MODERATE HUMIDITY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY (05/23/2010)... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........33-37 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)........ LWR SLP/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON...EXCEPT GUSTY UP TO 20 MPH FROM 1500-2300 FT MSL. UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTHEAST 3-7 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 12-17 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...SIRARD REQUESTED BY...KEN BATES TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20100520.ATOCS.01/LOX