FNAK79 PAFG 220436
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUCKER RIVER...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
836 PM AKDT FRI MAY 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1842 AKDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE FIRE WILL WITHDRAW FARTHER TO THE EAST
ON SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE FROM BRISTOL BAY
SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWARD TO REACH THE SEWARD PENINSULA SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD BACK FROM THE YUKON
TERRITORY TOWARD THE FIRE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. GENERALLY DRY
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE ATMOSPHERE ABOVE THE FIRE WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ON SUNDAY
EVENING...AND ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ON TUESDAY AND
ON WEDNESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED AND PRODUCE
VERY LITTLE RAINFALL.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-20 PERCENT). ISOLATED LATE
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING EAST
                    8 TO 16 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A THUNDERSTORM TOWARD EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF AN EVENING THUNDERSTORM. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF AN EVENING THUNDERSTORM. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF AN EVENING THUNDERSTORM. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...D  PATTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100521.SUCKE.02/AFG