FNAK79 PAFG 220630
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1030 PM AKDT FRI MAY 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2106 AKDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE FIRE WILL WITHDRAW FARTHER TO THE EAST
ON SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE FROM BRISTOL BAY
SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWARD TO REACH THE SEWARD PENINSULA SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD BACK FROM THE YUKON
TERRITORY TOWARD THE FIRE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. GENERALLY DRY
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE ATMOSPHERE ABOVE THE FIRE WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ON THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS OF SATURDAY...MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED AND PRODUCE
VERY LITTLE RAINFALL.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED LATE
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. WINDS
                    DIMINISHING TO 4 TO 7 MPH LATE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100521.TOKLA.01/AFG