FNUS73 KAPX 211658 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MERIDIAN FIRE...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1258 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1233 EDT ON MAY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...OBVIOUS CONCERN FOR YOUR AREA IS WIND SPEEDS...WHICH ARE STARTING TO PICK UP A BIT AT SURROUNDING LOCATIONS (GUSTING 15 TO 20 MPH AT GRAYLING...CADILLAC...HOUGHTON LAKE). WINDS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE MORNING...AND WE ARE RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF HAVING WIND GUSTS APPROACH 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH IS PREDICATED ON TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE LOWER-MID 70S...AND WITH PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER AND OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AFTER 2 PM MAY KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK A FEW DEGREES. BUT GIVEN THAT TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY RIGHT ON THE EDGE...WILL BE CALLING FOR WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST/EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOLER AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HIGHER THIS AFTERNOON THAN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. CALL WITH QUESTIONS/COMMENTS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........73 AT REQUEST...MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT REQUEST...INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 2100-3200 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT (1300) TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............71 71 70 69 68 RH..............46 47 47 50 53 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 11 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 23 23 23 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 400 700 10001300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 65 64 63 62 61 60 60 59 58 57 56 RH..............58 63 67 70 72 75 78 75 75 77 79 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 9 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 87 87 87 72 72 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 59 63 67 71 72 RH..............92 83 75 65 59 55 20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...STEVE CROSS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100521.MERID.02/APX