FNUS75 KBOU 211530 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BERRY RIDGE FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 922 AM MDT FRI MAY 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY RESULTING IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1400 TODAY. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL IMPROVE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL STABILITY DIMINISHES AND AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS. DRY AND WARMER FOR SATURDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN 14-23 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 18-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400-9400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BERRY RIDGE FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/21-09 22 1 49 74 S 2 2 2 1 W41 1031 S 8 7269 P 05/21-10 22 1 53 65 S 3 1 2366 S 12 32093 P 05/21-11 22 1 58 54 SE 5 1 3700 SW 15 56916 F 05/21-12 56 10 62 46 SE 6 6 2 2 SW37 5034 SW 18 81740 G 05/21-13 56 10 65 43 SE 7 2 5523 SW 20 94791 G 05/21-14 56 10 67 41 SE 7 2 6012 SW 21 107842 V 05/21-15 68 26 68 39 SE 7 7 2 4 SW38 6500 SW 22 120893 V 05/21-16 68 26 68 36 SE 6 4 6024 SW 22 115718 V 05/21-17 68 26 68 34 SE 5 4 5547 SW 23 110542 V 05/21-18 56 20 67 32 SE 3 3 3 3 SW39 5071 SW 24 105367 V 05/21-19 56 20 66 34 S 3 3 3807 SW 21 75661 G 05/21-20 56 20 62 37 SW 5 3 2543 SW 17 45955 F 05/21-21 38 10 59 41 W 6 6 3 2 SW39 1280 SW 15 16249 P 05/21-22 38 10 56 41 W 7 2 921 SW 17 12090 P 05/21-23 38 10 54 41 W 9 2 563 SW 18 7931 P 05/22-00 35 0 52 41 W 10 17 4 1 SW46 205 SW 21 3772 P 05/22-01 35 0 50 42 W 12 1 202 SW 24 4160 P 05/22-02 35 0 49 44 W 12 1 200 SW 26 4548 P 05/22-03 35 0 48 46 W 14 22 5 1 SW49 197 W 29 4935 P 05/22-04 35 0 47 49 W 18 1 216 W 32 6261 P 05/22-05 35 0 46 52 W 23 1 235 W 37 7587 P 05/22-06 7 0 46 53 W 26 43 5 1 S39 254 W 40 8913 P 05/22-07 7 0 48 49 W 26 1 537 W 41 20364 P 05/22-08 7 0 52 41 W 24 1 819 SW 44 31815 P 05/22-09 7 0 56 34 W 22 35 4 1 SW56 1101 SW 45 43266 F 05/22-10 7 0 60 28 SW 21 1 3661 SW 30 105309 V 05/22-11 7 0 63 24 SW 20 1 5812 SW 32 175680 E 05/22-12 24 0 66 22 SW 20 31 2 1 SW59 7963 SW 36 246052 E 05/22-13 24 0 68 20 SW 21 1 8608 SW 38 283904 E 05/22-14 24 0 69 19 SW 22 1 9254 SW 40 321757 E 05/22-15 24 0 69 19 SW 23 37 2 1 SW56 9899 SW 41 359609 E 05/22-16 24 0 70 18 SW 22 1 9643 SW 41 347566 E 05/22-17 24 0 69 19 SW 20 1 9387 SW 41 335523 E 05/22-18 24 0 67 20 W 17 28 2 1 SW54 9131 SW 40 323480 E 05/22-19 24 0 65 22 W 16 1 6965 SW 33 230697 E 05/22-20 24 0 60 27 W 15 1 4799 SW 26 137914 V 05/22-21 24 0 56 32 W 15 24 2 1 SW61 2634 SW 20 45132 F 05/22-22 24 0 53 37 W 15 1 1970 SW 16 31672 P 05/22-23 24 0 51 42 W 15 1 1307 SW 13 18213 P 05/23-00 34 0 49 47 W 14 22 2 1 SW68 643 SW 8 4754 P 05/23-01 34 0 47 50 W 12 1 600 SW 8 4163 P 05/23-02 34 0 45 54 NW 8 1 557 SW 7 3573 P 05/23-03 34 0 44 57 NW 6 6 2 1 SW71 513 SW 7 2983 P 05/23-04 34 0 43 58 W 5 1 932 SW 8 7007 P 05/23-05 34 0 43 58 W 5 1 1352 S 9 11032 P 05/23-06 28 0 43 59 W 5 5 2 1 SW75 1771 S 10 15057 P 05/23-07 28 0 45 55 SW 6 1 3395 S 13 48719 F 05/23-08 28 0 49 49 S 8 1 5019 S 16 82381 G 05/23-09 28 0 54 43 SE 9 9 2 1 SW58 6643 S 20 116044 V 05/23-10 28 0 59 38 SE 10 1 7935 S 21 149269 V 05/23-11 28 0 62 35 SE 10 1 9226 S 22 182495 E 05/23-12 49 10 65 33 SE 10 10 2 2 SW41 10517 S 24 215721 E 05/23-13 49 10 66 32 SE 12 2 10624 S 25 230901 E 05/23-14 49 10 67 32 SE 12 2 10732 S 26 246081 E 05/23-15 49 10 68 31 SE 13 13 2 2 S43 10840 S 28 261261 E 05/23-16 49 10 68 31 SE 12 2 9633 S 28 227874 E 05/23-17 49 10 67 32 SE 10 2 8426 S 26 194487 E 05/23-18 49 10 66 34 E 13 13 4 2 S45 7219 S 25 161100 E 05/23-19 49 10 63 37 S 16 2 5141 S 18 108953 V 05/23-20 49 10 59 39 S 15 2 3063 S 13 56807 F 05/23-21 49 10 55 41 SW 14 22 4 2 S46 985 S 6 4660 P 05/23-22 49 10 52 42 SW 13 2 912 S 6 4343 P 05/23-23 49 10 50 43 SW 12 2 838 W 6 4027 P 05/24-00 49 10 48 44 W 10 10 4 2 S47 765 W 6 3710 P 05/24-01 49 10 46 45 W 10 2 603 W 7 3237 P 05/24-02 49 10 44 48 W 10 2 442 W 8 2765 P 05/24-03 49 10 43 51 W 10 10 4 2 S52 280 W 9 2292 P 05/24-04 49 10 42 53 W 10 2 277 W 9 2266 P 05/24-05 49 10 42 54 W 10 2 273 W 9 2241 P 05/24-06 66 5 42 56 W 10 10 2 1 S58 270 W 9 2215 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100521.BERRY.01/BOU