FNUS74 KLIX 211214 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 714 AM CDT FRI MAY 21 2010 .SYNOPSIS...A 1016MB HIGH WAS SITUATED OVER THE E GLFMEX...RIDGING TO 1010MB ALG THE LWR TX COAST. A 5MB GRADIENT WAS ACROSS THE W GLFMEX FROM 90W TO 97W. SFC PRES OVR THE SPOT LOCATION IS 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 17KT 500FT... SE 18KT 1KFT... SE 19KT 2KFT... SE 21KT 3KFT... SE 20KT 4KFT... SE 21KT 5KFT... SE 18KT MAX WIND...268/50KT 46.1KFT. DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE FROM SFC TO 1500FT WITH TEMPERATURE INVERSION FROM 1500-3000FT. MOIST LAPSE RATE FROM 3000-9000 FT WITH DRY LAPSE RATE FROM 9000-17000FT THEN MOIST LAPSE RATE ABOVE THAT LEVEL. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN...P.W. 1.30 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 211151Z AUTO 13004KT 8SM CLR 24/23 A2999 METAR KGAO 211142Z AUTO 12003KT 10SM BKN018 BKN026 25/23 A2999 METAR KHSA 211134Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/22 A2997 METAR KIPN 211130Z AUTO 11015KT 10SM CLR 26/24 A2998 METAR KMYT 211135Z AUTO 13012KT 4SM HZ CLR 27/24 A2997 METAR KSPR 211140Z AUTO 16013KT 10SM 27/24 A2996 METAR KMDJ 211135Z AUTO 14010KT 9SM CLR 26/25 A2998 METAR KDLP 211135Z AUTO 15011KT 10SM BKN014 27/24 A2997 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...ISO -SHRA ALG LA AND MS COAST TIL 02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW025...ISO -SHRA TIL 02Z. TAF KHUM 211120Z 2112/2212 16004KT P6SM SCT018 TEMPO 2112/2114 5SM BR BKN018 FM211400 17007KT P6SM SCT030 FM220000 15005KT P6SM SCT250 FM220900 15003KT 6SM BR SCT018 TAF KHSA 211120Z 2112/2212 VRB03KT 6SM BR SCT020 TEMPO 2112/2114 5SM BR BKN020 FM211400 18008KT P6SM SCT030 FM220100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT020 AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT030. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY.....VFR FEW040. LGT ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY.....VFR SCT070. LGT ESE WND. RADAR... NO ACTIVITY WAS NOTED ON RADAR. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.27 FT AT 0638 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.41 AT 1200 CDT. WYCM6 1.44 FT AT 0638 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.86 AT 1300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.2F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........42 42 42 41 41 40 40 40 41 41 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE....................................... TEMP............77 78 79 79 79 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............90 87 85 82 82 82 79 79 79 79 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........41 39 33 26 24 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 78 77 77 77 77 RH..............82 85 87 87 88 88 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2300 2100 2100 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....760 700 640 640 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 SE 10 SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 SE 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........27 27 25 23 22 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 78 78 79 79 79 RH..............88 86 84 82 81 78 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2000 2300 2300 2200 2100 MIX HGT (M).....580 610 700 700 670 640 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 8 E 6 E 6 E 8 E 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100521.DEEPW.03/LIX