FNUS74 KLIX 211811 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 111 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 17Z A 1022MB RIDGE WAS OVER CAROLINAS WITH 1018MB HIGH NEAR APALACHICOLA FL...6MB GRADIENT ACROSS GLFMEX TO 1013MB LWR TX CST. PRESSURE OVER THE SPILL LOCATION 1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 9KT 250FT... SE 7KT 500FT... SE 8KT 1KFT... SE 10KT 2KFT... SE 11KT 3KFT...SSE 13KT 4KFT...SSE 12KT 5KFT... SE 14KT MAX WIND...272/46KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE RATE FROM SFC TO 2500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5900FT. PSEUDO LAPSE TO 10.2KT...DRY LAPSE ABV 10.2KFT. MOIST TO 927MB/2500FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.21 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 211751Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP166 T02940233 10300 20244 50000 TSNO METAR KGAO 211742Z AUTO 17006KT BKN026 BKN035 30/23 A3001 METAR KHSA 211755Z 20006KT 10SM SCT038 BKN055 30/21 A3000 METAR KIPN 211750Z AUTO 09013KT 10SM FEW028 SCT047 27/24 A3001 METAR KMYT 211755Z AUTO 11005KT 9SM CLR 28/24 A3001 METAR KSPR 211800Z AUTO 16006KT 10SM 28/23 A3000 METAR KMDJ 211755Z AUTO 13009KT 10SM CLR 27/25 A3002 METAR KDLP 211755Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM FEW013 29/24 A3001 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISO -SHRA ALG LA CST...TEMPO MVFR BKN025CB 3SM TSRA ALG MS COAST 18Z-22Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR BKN035 BTWN 28-29N/88-89W... SHRA DVLPG BECG SCT 18Z-02Z...PSBL WATERSPOUTS UNDER DVLPG TCU. KHUM 211747Z 2118/2218 15006KT P6SM SCT028 TEMPO 2119/2122 15007KT P6SM BKN028 FM220000 15005KT P6SM SCT250 FM220900 15003KT 6SM BR SCT018 FM221400 15007KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 211743Z 2118/2218 22008KT P6SM SCT030 FM211900 18008KT P6SM BKN030 FM220100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT020 FM221330 17008KT P6SM SCT030 AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT030. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY.....VFR FEW040. LGT ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY.....VFR SCT070. LGT ESE WND. .RADAR... ISOLATED SHRA WERE DETECTED 58NM SSE OF MOUTH OF MS RIVER...35NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...PSBL SLOW MOVG WATERSPOUTS. CELL MOVMT N 5KT. NO LGT OVER GLFMEX. SAT IMAGES INDICATE A CONVERGENT BAND OF MDT CU-TCU CLOUDS THAT ARE ENHANCING FM 40NM SE OF MOUTH OF MS RIVER-SE TO NEAR KEY WEST FL. THE CLOUD FIELD IS GROWING IN COVERAGE OFF THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER AND WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INTO SCT SHRA THRU 3 PM CDT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW MOVG WATERSPOUTS UNDER DVLPG TCU. PROJECTED CELL MOVMT...N 5KT. AREAL MOVMT STNRY OR DRIFT N. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.38 FT AT 1239 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.54 FT AT 1239 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.08 AT 0258 AM CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.8F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........40 40 41 41 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 79 79 79 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........B35................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........41 39 33 26 24 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 78 77 77 77 77 RH..............82 85 87 87 88 88 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 SE 5 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 1800 1800 1700 1600 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 550 550 520 490 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 10 SE 13 SE 13 S 9 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........27 27 25 23 22 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 78 78 79 79 79 RH..............88 86 84 82 81 78 20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1400 1800 1800 2200 2100 MIX HGT (M).....490 430 550 550 670 640 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SE 1 E 6 E 6 E 9 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100521.DEEPW.09/LIX