FNUS74 KLIX 220021 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 721 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 23Z A LARGE 1017MB HIGH WAS ACROSS THE NE TO NCNTRL GLFMEX TO 93W. A 4MB GRADIENT ACROSS W GLFMEX TO 1011MB LWR TX CST. PRESSURE OVER THE SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 8KT 250FT...ESE 9KT 500FT...ESE 11KT 1KFT...ESE 16KT 2KFT...SE 13KT 3KFT...SSE 4KT 4KFT... S 7KT 5KFT... S 12KT MAX WIND...279/37KT 35.8KFT. DRY LAPSE RATE FROM SFC TO 2700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5900FT. PSEUDO LAPSE TO 9100FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 9500FT. MOIST TO 813MB/2700FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.69 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 212351Z AUTO 12006KT 10SM BKN022 OVC029 28/23 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP151 T02780228 10311 20278 55006 TSNO METAR KGAO 220002Z AUTO 13005KT SCT023 28/23 A2996 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 212355Z 16006KT 10SM SCT040 27/23 A2997 METAR KIPN 220010Z AUTO 10015KT 10SM CLR 26/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 220015Z AUTO 09010KT 7SM CLR 27/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 220015Z AUTO 14006KT 10SM 29/23 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 220015Z AUTO 13009KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 220015Z AUTO VRB06G13KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW-SCT025-035 SCT050...LCL MVFR CIGS BKN0025-30 MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW015-020 SCT025-030 BTWN 27.5-29N /87.5-89W...SCT MVFR BKN020-030 ISOLD 6SM -SHRA. KHUM 212329Z 2200/2224 15005KT P6SM SCT250 FM220900 15003KT 6SM BR SCT018 FM221400 15007KT P6SM SCT030 AMD NOT SKED TIL 221100 KHSA 212329Z 2200/2224 18008KT P6SM SCT030 FM220100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT020 FM221330 17008KT P6SM SCT030 AMD NOT SKED AFT 220200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT030. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY.....VFR SCT035. LGT ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY.....VFR SCT035. LGT E-NE WND. .RADAR... ISOLATED LIGHT SHRA WERE ESTIMATED ON SATELLITE FROM 40NM SSE TO 125NM SSE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT W 8 KT. NO LTGNG DETECTED OVER GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.26 FT AT 1855 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.99 AT MIDNIGHT CDT. WYCM6 1.60 FT AT 1855 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.98 AT 0258 AM CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.7F .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........41 39 36 33 29 26 24 25 26 26 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 78 78 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 RH..............85 85 87 87 87 87 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 13 13 13 9 9 9 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........27 27 25 23 22 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 78 78 79 79 79 RH..............88 86 84 82 81 78 20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1600 1600 1600 1700 1800 MIX HGT (M).....430 490 490 490 520 550 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SE 1 E 6 E 6 E 9 E 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 SE 0 E 3 E 3 E 4 E 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........22 21 19 16 15 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 78 78 77 77 77 RH..............79 82 83 84 84 84 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1700 1400 1400 1500 1600 MIX HGT (M).....550 520 430 430 460 490 TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 6 S 2 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 3 S 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100521.DEEPW.15/LIX