FNUS76 KMFR 211109
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE RX SOUTH...USFS BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
409 AM PDT FRI MAY 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0429 PDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINDY AND COLDER WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...UNSEASONABLY COOL AND WET WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING
WINDY CONDITIONS. SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TODAY AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO
BELOW 4500 FEET WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. CONDITIONS IMPROVE SUNDAY WITH LESS FREQUENT SHOWERS. DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY...THEN COOL AND WET AGAIN TUESDAY INTO THE
END OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 6-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH
                    GUSTS TO 14 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SANDLER
REQUESTED BY...SHERRY JACOBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100521.MORTA.01/MFR