FNAK79 PAFG 230330
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT FIRE...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
730 PM AKDT SAT MAY 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1930 AKDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW LEVEL THROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE
WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...
AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE ISOLATED AND WOULD LIKELY CONTAIN SOME MOISTURE...ALTHOUGH PROBABLY
NOT A WETTING RAIN.  THE WIND WILL BE ERRATIC AND GUSTY IN OR NEAR
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS
NEAR 80 POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH ISOLATED...MAINLY DRY
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER NOON. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN/NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SPRINKLES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING...THEN
PARTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS 70 TO 75. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY MORNING FOG. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED LATE DAY OR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED LATE DAY OR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID-UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 80. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100522.TOKLA.01/AFG