FNAK79 PAFG 232342
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUCKER RIVER...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
342 PM AKDT SUN MAY 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0754 AKDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY
SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE AREA THROUGH MON. NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 20 MPH AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS
THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING. HUMIDITIES NOW BELOW 30 PERCENT WILL
DROP AS LOW AS 24 PERCENT AFTER 4PM THIS AFTERNOON. RED FLAG
CONDITIONS WILL END BY 10 PM TONIGHT AS HUMIDITIES INCREASE
ABOVE 30 PERCENT. GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. SIMILAR NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP
AGAIN MON AFTERNOON.

A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE ARE KEEPING
HUMIDITIES HIGHER SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE. THERE COULD BE GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS BLOWING OUT OF ANY OF THOSE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THAT COULD AFFECT THE FIRE AND CAUSE WIND
DIRECTIONS TO CHANGE RAPIDLY.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE ALCAN BORDER WILL BUILD WEST OVER
THE INTERIOR MON THROUGH WED. THIS WILL CAUSE CONDITIONS TO
BECOME DRIER AND WARMER THROUGH THE WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH GUSTING 20 MPH.
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH GUSTING 15 MPH.
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...D  PATTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100523.SUCKE.01/AFG