FNUS75 KBOU 222028 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR POORMAN RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 230 PM MDT SAT MAY 22 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BROAD UPPER LOW ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS COLORADO. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT RESULTING IN MUCH LESS WIND ON SUNDAY AND GENERALLY UNDER 15 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. MORNING INVERSIONS WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSAL POOR THEN IMPROVING DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS INVERIONS SLOWLY ERODE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1200-2000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 16-23 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 26-33 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL AFTER 0700. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR POORMAN RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/22-14 26 0 76 14 SW 29 1 6677 SW 51 292194 E 05/22-15 26 0 76 13 SW 29 46 3 1 SW54 7278 SW 47 296037 E 05/22-16 26 0 76 13 SW 29 1 7387 SW 45 287478 E 05/22-17 26 0 76 14 SW 28 1 7496 SW 43 278919 E 05/22-18 44 0 73 16 SW 25 40 2 1 SW75 7604 SW 41 270360 E 05/22-19 44 0 70 20 SW 21 1 5432 SW 37 189267 E 05/22-20 44 0 64 27 SW 16 1 3259 SW 32 108173 V 05/22-21 44 0 59 35 SW 12 18 2 1 SW76 1086 SW 29 27080 P 05/22-22 44 0 55 41 W 10 1 947 W 22 19361 P 05/22-23 44 0 52 45 NW 9 1 807 NW 14 11643 P 05/23-00 33 0 49 49 N 9 15 2 1 SW45 668 NW 7 3924 P 05/23-01 33 0 47 54 NW 7 1 894 W 7 5907 P 05/23-02 33 0 45 59 SW 5 1 1119 SW 8 7889 P 05/23-03 33 0 43 63 S 3 3 2 1 SW51 1345 S 8 9872 P 05/23-04 33 0 42 66 S 2 1 1656 S 9 12843 P 05/23-05 33 0 42 68 S 2 1 1966 S 9 15814 P 05/23-06 22 1 42 69 SW 3 3 2 1 S49 2277 S 9 18785 P 05/23-07 22 1 45 60 S 6 1 3142 S 12 36089 P 05/23-08 22 1 48 53 SE 8 1 4008 S 14 53392 F 05/23-09 22 1 53 44 SE 10 16 2 1 SW45 4874 S 17 70696 G 05/23-10 22 1 57 37 SE 12 1 5457 S 18 91441 G 05/23-11 22 1 61 32 SE 12 1 6040 S 21 112186 V 05/23-12 55 10 64 29 SE 12 18 2 2 SW62 6623 S 23 132931 V 05/23-13 55 10 65 27 SE 12 2 6701 S 24 142062 V 05/23-14 55 10 66 26 SE 13 2 6779 S 25 151193 E 05/23-15 55 10 67 25 SE 13 21 2 2 SW52 6857 S 26 160324 E 05/23-16 55 10 67 25 E 13 2 6606 S 26 153746 E 05/23-17 55 10 67 27 E 12 2 6355 S 26 147169 V 05/23-18 52 9 65 29 E 10 16 2 1 S53 6105 SE 26 140591 V 05/23-19 52 9 63 31 SE 9 1 5164 SE 23 110342 V 05/23-20 52 9 60 35 S 7 1 4223 SE 21 80093 G 05/23-21 52 9 56 40 S 5 5 2 1 S54 3281 SE 17 49844 F 05/23-22 52 9 57 39 S 5 1 3718 S 21 68183 G 05/23-23 52 9 55 41 S 5 1 3032 S 22 56514 F 05/24-00 45 6 54 43 S 5 5 4 1 S49 2347 S 22 44844 F 05/24-01 45 6 52 45 S 5 1 1818 S 21 33977 P 05/24-02 45 6 50 48 SW 3 1 1289 SW 20 23109 P 05/24-03 45 6 49 51 W 3 3 3 1 S46 760 SW 18 12242 P 05/24-04 45 6 47 53 W 3 1 730 SW 17 10874 P 05/24-05 45 6 46 56 W 3 1 700 SW 15 9506 P 05/24-06 35 5 46 57 W 3 3 3 1 S47 670 SW 14 8138 P 05/24-07 35 5 48 54 NW 3 1 1807 SW 17 34382 P 05/24-08 35 5 52 47 NE 5 1 2943 S 21 60626 G 05/24-09 35 5 56 41 E 6 6 3 1 S55 4080 S 24 86870 G 05/24-10 35 10 58 38 SE 8 2 4421 S 26 104469 V 05/24-11 35 10 59 36 S 13 2 4763 S 29 122069 V 05/24-12 46 10 60 33 S 16 25 3 2 S51 5104 S 31 139669 V 05/24-13 46 10 59 32 S 20 2 4943 S 32 139082 V 05/24-14 46 10 59 32 SW 23 2 4781 S 33 138496 V 05/24-15 46 10 59 30 SW 26 43 3 2 S40 4619 S 35 137910 V 05/24-16 46 10 58 30 SW 30 2 5033 S 36 154274 E 05/24-17 46 10 57 30 W 33 2 5447 SW 36 170638 E 05/24-18 6 3 57 30 W 35 55 2 1 S48 5861 SW 37 187002 E 05/24-19 6 3 59 26 W 32 1 6345 SW 39 217093 E 05/24-20 6 3 56 28 W 26 1 6829 SW 41 247184 E 05/24-21 6 3 53 30 W 22 35 3 1 SW48 7313 W 44 277275 E 05/24-22 6 3 51 32 W 18 1 6463 W 45 249385 E 05/24-23 6 3 49 35 W 15 1 5612 W 46 221496 E 05/25-00 29 0 47 38 SW 13 21 4 1 SW41 4762 W 47 193607 E 05/25-01 29 0 45 40 SW 10 1 4083 W 41 153335 E 05/25-02 29 0 43 42 SW 9 1 3405 W 36 113062 V 05/25-03 29 0 42 44 SW 8 13 4 1 SW31 2726 W 31 72790 G 05/25-04 29 0 40 46 SW 7 1 2275 W 28 57235 F 05/25-05 29 0 39 47 SW 7 1 1824 W 25 41680 F 05/25-06 29 0 39 47 SW 7 7 4 1 SW37 1373 W 22 26125 P 05/25-07 29 0 41 44 SW 6 1 2470 W 20 37776 P 05/25-08 29 0 46 39 S 5 1 3566 W 17 49427 F 05/25-09 45 0 51 34 S 5 5 4 1 SW32 4663 W 15 61078 G 05/25-10 45 0 55 31 S 5 1 5707 SW 15 71750 G 05/25-11 45 0 58 29 SE 6 1 6751 SW 14 82423 G 05/25-12 45 10 61 27 SE 7 7 2 2 SW36 7795 SW 14 93095 G 05/25-13 45 10 62 27 SE 7 2 8210 SW 14 99654 G 05/25-14 45 10 63 27 SE 8 2 8624 SW 14 106214 V 05/25-15 45 10 63 27 SE 8 13 2 2 SW31 9039 S 14 112773 V 05/25-16 45 10 63 27 SE 8 2 8649 S 14 103756 V 05/25-17 45 10 63 28 SE 8 2 8259 S 13 94738 G 05/25-18 45 10 62 30 SE 8 13 2 2 SW29 7869 S 13 85721 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF S OFFICE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100523.POORM.01/BOU