FNUS74 KLIX 232215 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 515 PM CDT SUN MAY 23 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1700 CDT...LARGE RIDGE EXTENSION FM APPALACHIANS INTO THE CNTRL GULF. LOWER PRESSURE NOTED ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS IS LEADING TO A LONG FETCHED ELY FLOW THRU FL STRAITS...ACROSS CNTRL GLFMEX THEN TURNING TO UPPER TX/SW LA COAST. 5-6MB PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL LOCATION 1017MB. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA ACROSS NRN FL AND ENTERING THE EXTREME NERN GULF. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 10KT 250FT... E 12KT 500FT... E 14KT 1KFT... E 16KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT... E 9KT 4KFT... E 9KT 5KFT...ESE 12KT MAX WIND...316/20KT 35.1FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2700 FT. MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE FROM 2700 TO 6K FT...ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE ABV 6K FT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 1.23 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 232151Z AUTO 08007KT 10SM FEW030 30/23 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP162 T03000228 TSNO METAR KGAO 232203Z AUTO 11007KT CLR 32/22 A3000 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 232150Z 16004KT 10SM FEW060 32/19 A2998 METAR KIPN 232150Z AUTO 06013KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 232155Z AUTO 09011KT 6SM HZ BKN016 BKN021 27/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 232155Z AUTO 12007G15KT 080V150 10SM 30/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 232155Z AUTO 11012KT 10SM FEW018 27/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 232155Z AUTO 12010KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035. LGT SE WND THRU 01Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVU. LGT ENE WND. KHUM 231720Z 2318/2418 15008KT P6SM FEW030 TEMPO 2409/2413 BKN020 FM241400 07005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 231720Z 2318/2418 18006KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 2410/2412 VRB03KT 4SM BR BKN015 FM241400 03005KT P6SM SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY.....VFR FEW/SCT020 SCT/BKN040. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY....VFR SCT020...OCNL MVFR BKN020. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. MDT NW WND. .RADAR...NO PCPN WAS DETECTED IN OPERATIONS AREA. THERE ARE A FEW SHRA AND POSSIBLY AN EMBEDDED TSRA OVER THE SOUTHSHORE(NEW ORLEANS METRO) ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION OF THE SEA/LAKE BREEZE. A LINE OF TSRA IS OVER S AL TO APALACHEE BAY FL...MOVING SW AT 12KT. LIGHTNING IS BEING DETECTED OVER THE APALACHEE BAY/FL BIG BEND AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.88 FT AT 1635 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.82 WITHIN THE HR. WYCM6 0.78 FT AT 1637 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.54 AT 2100 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.1F TIME (CDT) 5PM SKY (%).........30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............83 RH..............72 20 FT WIND DIR..E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.E TRANSP WIND SPD.14 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 SEAS............2 SEA STATE.......LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........30 28 28 28 28 30 32 34 35 38 41 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............72 74 77 77 79 79 79 79 79 79 78 77 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SW SW SW NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 8 8 8 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........48 45 29 29 29 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 80 81 82 82 82 RH..............77 73 71 68 68 68 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 4 N 4 NE 4 N 4 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 2100 2100 2400 2500 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 640 640 730 760 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 2 N 6 N 9 N 9 NE 3 SE 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 1 N 3 N 4 N 4 NE 1 SE 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100523.DEEPW.13/LIX