FNUS74 KLIX 240002 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 702 PM CDT SUN MAY 23 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1900 CDT...LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATED ALL OF THE NEW ENGLAND STATES. A IDGE AXIS WORKED SW THROUGH ACROSS THE APPLACHIANS AND INTO THE N-CNTRL GULF WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING ALL OF THE GULF. THERE IS A WEAKNESS AT THE SFC OVER GA/SRN FL/SWRN AL AND THIS HAS ALLOWED SCT SHRA AND TSRA TO DEVELOP AND WORK TOWARDS THE EXTREME NERN GULF. LOWER PRESSURE NOTED ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS IS LEADING TO A LONG FETCHED ERLY FLOW THRU FL STRAITS...ACROSS CNTRL GULF THEN TURNING TO UPPER TX/SW LA COAST. 5-6MB PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 11KT 250FT... E 12KT 500FT... E 14KT 1KFT... E 14KT 2KFT...ENE 8KT 3KFT... E 9KT 4KFT... E 9KT 5KFT...ESE 9KT MAX WIND...306/23KT 35.4FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1900 FT. MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE FROM 1900 TO 6K FT... MODERATELY MOIST LAPSE RATE ABV 6K FT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 1.28 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 232351Z AUTO 12004KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP158 T02830222 10306 20278 56009 TSNO METAR KGAO 232343Z AUTO 12005KT CLR 30/22 A2999 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 232250Z 19006KT 10SM CLR 31/20 A2997 METAR KIPN 232355Z AUTO 08010KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 232355Z AUTO 08012KT 5SM HZ SCT014 27/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 232355Z AUTO VRB05G13KT 10SM 30/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 232355Z AUTO 12011KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 232355Z AUTO 13010KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW/SCT025-035. LGT SE WND THRU 01Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVU. KHUM 232322Z 2400/2424 15005KT P6SM FEW030 TEMPO 2409/2413 BKN020 FM241400 07005KT P6SM SCT030 FM241900 14006KT P6SM SCT040 KHSA 232322Z 2400/2424 18006KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 2410/2412 VRB03KT 4SM BR BKN015 FM241400 03005KT P6SM SCT025 FM241900 18006KT P6SM SCT040 AMD NOT SKED AFT 240200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY.....VFR FEW/SCT020 SCT/BKN040. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY....VFR SCT020...OCNL MVFR BKN020. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. MDT NW WND. .RADAR...AT 1845 CDT. NO PCPN WAS DETECTED OVER ANY OF THE OPERATIONS AREAS. THERE ARE A FEW SHRA OVER S-CNTRL LA BUT THESE ARE BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE AND WILL NOT AFFECT THE OPERATIONS AREAS. ANOTHER LINE OF TSRA OVER S AL AND SE ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO THE BIG BEND REGION CONTINUE TO WORK TO THE SW AT 12KT. THIS ACTIVITY AS WELL...IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO HAVE ANY IMPACT ON OPERATIONS. LIGHTNING IS BEING BEING DETECTED WITH THE ACTIVITY MOVING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.94 FT AT 1826 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.89 AT 0659 CDT. WYCM6 0.80 FT AT 1824 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE OCCURRING NOW. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.6F .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........28 28 28 30 32 34 35 38 41 44 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 80 80 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............77 77 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 78 77 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE E E NE NE N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SW SW SW NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........48 45 29 29 29 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 80 81 82 82 82 RH..............77 73 71 68 68 68 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 4 N 4 NE 4 N 4 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 2100 2100 2400 2500 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 640 640 730 760 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 2 N 6 N 9 N 9 NE 3 SE 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 1 N 3 N 4 N 4 NE 1 SE 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........51 54 47 39 37 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 78 RH..............68 70 72 69 74 79 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 1900 1900 1900 1600 1500 MIX HGT (M).....760 580 580 580 490 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 1 SW 6 SW 8 SW 8 W 9 NW 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 0 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 W 4 NW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100523.DEEPW.14/LIX