FNUS74 KLIX 241310 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 810 AM CDT MON MAY 24 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...A WEAKENING 1015MB HIGH PRES AREA WAS NR 28N/89W. A WEAK 1014MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS NOTED ALONG THE FL CST NW OF KTPA TO NR KAQQ TO S OF KMOB...APRNT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FM PAST CONVECTION...MOVG SW 9KT. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND TREND...THIS TROF AND ASSOCD SCT TSRA WILL REACH THE SPILL LOCATION AROUND 300 PM CDT. PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 5KT 250FT... NW 5KT 500FT... NW 5KT 1KFT... NW 3KT 2KFT... NE 3KT 3KFT...ENE 8KT 4KFT...ENE 13KT 5KFT... E 17KT MAX WIND...314/21KT 37.8FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 350 FT...INVERSION 350 FT TO 1800 FT... MDT MOIST LAPSE RATE ABV 1800 FT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 0.95 IN. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...310/05KT 2KFT...075/08KT 3KFT...090/12KT 4KFT...130/13KT 5KFT...140/15KT MAX WIND...320/28KT 31.0FT. SFC INVERSION TO 360FT...SATURATED LAPSE TO 1200FT...INVERSION TO 1800FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE 1800FT. SATURATED SFC TO 973MB/1200FT. P.W. 1.29 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 241251Z AUTO 00000KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/23 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP157 T02670228 TSNO METAR KGAO 241303Z AUTO 00000KT 26/24 A2999 RMK AO2 PWINO SPECI KHSA 241255Z 34004KT 4SM BR CLR 24/23 A2999 METAR KIPN 241255Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 241255Z AUTO 03004KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 241255Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 241255Z AUTO 02004KT 6SM BR CLR 26/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 241255Z AUTO 36004KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035. LCL MVFR VSBY 5-6SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVOK. AFT 17Z...SCT-BKN025TCU ...ISOLD-SCT 2SM TSRA G35KT...PSBL FC BKN025CB. KHUM 241140Z 2412/2512 VRB03KT 1 1/2SM BR VV007 TEMPO 2412/2414 4SM BR SCT020 FM241400 07005KT P6SM SCT030 FM241900 14006KT P6SM SCT040 FM250100 00000KT P6SM SKC KHSA 241140Z 2412/2512 00000KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 2412/2414 4SM BR BKN015 FM241400 03005KT P6SM SCT025 FM241900 18006KT P6SM SCT040 FM250100 00000KT P6SM SKC= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY....VFR SCT020...OCNL MVFR BKN020. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...MVFR BKN020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT NW WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT RADAR WAS DETECTING ISOLD SHRA 84NM N OF SPOT LOCATION...6NM E OF UPPER CHANDELEUR ISLANDS...MOVG W 8KT. ANOTHER SHRA 64NM NE OF SPOT LOCATION...80NM SSW OF KPNS...MOVG W 9KT. WATERSPOUTS PSBL UNDER DVLPG TCU/CB. NO LGTNG DETECTED NR THE OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.84 FT AT 0755 CDT STEADY NEAR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.76 FT AT 0738 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 AT 0854 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 81.0F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 35 29 29 29 29 29 30 40 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 80 RH..............77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE N NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S25................................... SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........51 54 47 39 37 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 80 80 80 80 79 RH..............77 77 76 76 77 78 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 W 2 W 3 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1500 1300 1300 1200 1200 MIX HGT (M).....460 460 400 400 370 370 TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 W 1 W 6 W 6 W 10 NW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 2 W 0 W 3 W 3 W 4 NW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........40 42 51 60 62 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 79 80 81 81 80 RH..............79 78 76 75 75 76 20 FT WIND......N 4 NE 3 NE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1300 1900 1900 2300 2300 MIX HGT (M).....370 400 580 580 700 700 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 N 9 E 6 E 6 E 7 SE 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 N 4 E 3 E 3 E 3 SE 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100524.DEEPW.04/LIX