FNAK79 PAFG 252305
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROKEN TREE...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
305 PM AKDT TUE MAY 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1437 AKDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HEIGHTS BUILDING THROUGH THURSDAY AND THEN LEVELING
OFF NEAR RECORD LEVELS. EXPECT WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
DRY CONDITIONS. HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOW BUT NOT AT RED FLAG LEVELS.

A THERMAL TROUGH HAS TAKEN UP RESIDENCE IN THE AREA AND IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THIS WEEK. THIS SHOULD DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GUSTY WINDS NEAR THESE STORMS
WILL BE A THREAT...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS IS LOW. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH ARE MORE LIKELY.

OVERALL FLOW WILL BE LIGHT. DRAINAGE WINDS WILL DOMINATE AT NIGHT
BUT WILL BE TAKEN OVER BY LIGHT FLOW INTO THE THERMAL TROUGH EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED WET
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 50. HIGH 81.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 51. HIGH 82.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50. HIGH 81. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50. HIGH 78. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100525.BROKE.01/AFG