FNUS74 KLIX 251107 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 607 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0500 CDT...A WEAK 1012MB LOW PRES AREA WAS LOCATED NR THE CHANDELEUR ISLANDS. A VERY FLAT PRESSURE FIELD OVER ENTIRE GLFMEX WITH 1014MB HIGH NR 27N/92W AND RIDGING E-W ACROSS N HALF OF GLFMEX. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL LOCATION 1012MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 3KT 250FT... SE 3KT 500FT... S 3KT 1KFT... SW 2KT 2KFT... N 6KT 3KFT... N 11KT 4KFT... N 9KT 5KFT... N 4KT MAX WIND...326/47KT 35.5FT. COND STABLE LAPSE SFC TO 5800FT...DRY LAPSE TO 10.3KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 13.5KFT..PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 13.5KFT. SEMI-MOIST TO 953MB/1750FT...MOIST LAYER BTWN 750-700MB...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.51 IN. CAPE 3285 J/KG. LI -8. WET MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251051Z AUTO 33003KT 6SM BR CLR 26/23 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP126 T02560233 TSNO METAR KGAO 251043Z AUTO 30005KT 23/22 A2991 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 250150Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/22 A2992 METAR KIPN 251055Z AUTO 07009KT 10SM BKN070 BKN120 27/24 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 251055Z AUTO 33008KT 8SM CLR 27/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251055Z AUTO 36004KT 10SM 26/24 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251055Z AUTO 30011KT 10SM OVC070 28/23 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251055Z AUTO 33015KT 10SM SCT025 SCT036 BKN110 28/20 A2990 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035...ISOLD TSRA NR SHORE...PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS TIL 14Z. AFT 19Z ISOLD 1SM +TSRA BKN022CB G40KT. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT070. AFT 03Z ISOLD-SCT 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G45KT. KHUM 250919Z 2509/2606 VRB03KT P6SM FEW060 FM251500 35003KT P6SM FEW060 FM251800 18004KT P6SM FEW050 FM252000 18007KT P6SM VCTS BKN070CB PROB30 2520/2524 VRB25KT TSRA FM260000 18005KT P6SM BKN070CB FM260300 VRB04KT P6SM SCT070 BKN250 AMD NOT SKED TIL 251100 KHSA 250524Z 2506/2606 00000KT P6SM FEW070 BKN250 TEMPO 2509/2513 4SM BR FM251500 05005KT P6SM SCT250 FM252100 15007KT P6SM SCT040CB BKN250 PROB30 2521/2603 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN015-020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT VRB WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT015 BKN050..OCNL MVFR BKN015. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT NW WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT025...OCNL MVFR BKN025. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT W-NW WND. .RADAR...AT 0600 CDT AN ISOLATED TSTM WAS INDICATED JUST W OF THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER 75NM NW OF SPOT LOCATION...11NM WSW OF VENICE...MOVG SW 4KT. A WATERSPOUT MAY BE OCCURING WITH THIS PARTICULAR CELL. NO OTHER ECHOES WERE INDICATED NR THE OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.99 FT AT 0538 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.03 FT AT 0659 CDT. WYCM6 1.64 FT AT 0538 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.16 FT AT 0954 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.0F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........27 26 26 28 28 28 45 45 45 45 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............83 83 80 78 78 78 77 77 77 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E E E SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.8 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S70..................S25........................ SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........43 32 28 28 29 29 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 80 79 79 78 77 RH..............79 78 81 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 SE 4 E 3 E 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 SE 7 SE 7 E 5 E 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 E 2 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 29 41 41 47 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 77 78 80 80 80 RH..............80 77 75 70 69 69 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 3 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 1800 1800 2300 2100 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 550 550 700 640 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100525.DEEPW.02/LIX