FNUS74 KLIX 251211 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 711 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...A WEAK 1012MB LOW PRES AREA WAS LOCATED NR THE CHANDELEUR ISLANDS. A VERY FLAT PRESSURE FIELD OVER ENTIRE GLFMEX WITH 1014MB HIGH NR 27N/90W AND RIDGING E-W ACROSS N HALF OF GLFMEX. ACCAS BASED BKN070 BECMG BETTER DEVLPD W/ISOLD TSTMS OVR CNTRL MS AND CNTRL AL MOVG S. OUTFLOW FM THESE CLUSTERS LIKELY TO INTERACT WITH LK/GLF BREEZE THIS AFTN FOR PSBL INC IN TSTM COVERAGE MAINLY ON LAND AREAS DURG AFTN/EVE...MOVG INTO N GLFMEX OVRNGT. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL LOCATION 1012MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF BARATARIA BAY WITH POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS... AT 629 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS... OVER COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM...OR ABOUT 18 NM NORTHWEST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF BARATARIA BAY AND POSSIBLY MOVE CLOSE TO PORT FOURCHON AND GRAND ISLE AROUND 9 AM. .WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 1KT 250FT... SW 1KT 500FT... SW 1KT 1KFT...WNW 2KT 2KFT... N 7KT 3KFT...NNE 13KT 4KFT...NNE 11KT 5KFT...NNE 6KT MAX WIND...327/36KT 35.5FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 2600FT...DRY LAPSE TO 8600FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 8600FT. SEMI-MOIST TO 957MB/1600FT...MOIST LAYER BTWN 800-700MB...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.52 IN. CAPE 3528 J/KG. LI -9. WET MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251151Z AUTO 30003KT 3SM BR CLR 26/24 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP135 T02560239 10256 20239 51012 TSNO METAR KGAO 251203Z AUTO 29005KT 24/22 A2994 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 250150Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/22 A2992 METAR KIPN 251155Z AUTO 09008KT 10SM CLR 27/25 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 251155Z AUTO 34009G14KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/24 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251155Z AUTO 35006KT 10SM 26/24 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251155Z AUTO 33012KT 9SM CLR 28/25 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251155Z AUTO 00000G11KT 10SM FEW085 29/19 A2992 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035...ISOLD TSRA NR SHORE...PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS TIL 14Z. AFT 19Z ISOLD 1SM +TSRA BKN022CB G40KT. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT070. AFT 03Z ISOLD-SCT 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G45KT. KHUM 251131Z 2512/2612 33007KT P6SM FEW060 TEMPO 2512/2514 4SM BR FM251500 35003KT P6SM FEW060 FM251800 18004KT P6SM FEW050 FM252000 18007KT P6SM VCTS BKN070CB PROB30 2521/2524 VRB25KT TSRA FM260000 18005KT P6SM BKN070CB FM260300 VRB04KT P6SM SCT070 BKN250 KHSA 251131Z 2512/2612 01002KT P6SM FEW250 FM251500 05004KT P6SM FEW250 FM251800 14006KT P6SM FEW030 SCT070 FM252000 15008KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 2522/2602 VRB25KT TSRA FM260300 05003KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250 FM260900 00000KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN015-020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT VRB WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT015 BKN050..OCNL MVFR BKN015. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT NW WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT025...OCNL MVFR BKN025. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT W-NW WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT AN ISOLATED TSTM WAS INDICATED BELOW BARATARIA BAY...84NM NW OF SPOT LOCATION...28NM E OF PT FOURCHON...MOVG W 10KT. WATERSPOUTS MAY BE OCCURING UNDER THESE CELLS. NO ECHOES WERE INDICATED NR THE OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.97 FT AT 0638 CDT STEADY NEAR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.96 FT AT 0638 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.16 FT AT 0954 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.0F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........26 26 28 28 28 45 45 45 45 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............83 80 78 78 78 77 77 77 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S70..............S25...................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........43 32 28 28 29 29 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 80 79 79 78 77 RH..............79 78 81 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 SE 4 E 3 E 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 SE 7 SE 7 E 5 E 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 E 2 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 29 41 41 47 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 77 78 80 80 80 RH..............80 77 75 70 69 69 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 3 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 1800 1800 2300 2100 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 550 550 700 640 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100525.DEEPW.03/LIX