FNUS74 KLIX 251413 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 913 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...A WEAK 1014MB LOW PRES AREA WAS LOCATED E OF CHANDELEUR ISLANDS AND S OF MS SOUND. 1015MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. A 1013MB TROF WAS ORIENTED N-S ALG FL COAST W OF KTPA. 2MB GRADIENT E GLFMEX BTWN HIGH AND TROF...4MB GRADIENT HIGH TO 1011MB ALG LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1014MB. ACCAS BASED BKN070 BECMG BETTER DEVLPD W/ISOLD TSTMS OVR CNTRL MS AND CNTRL AL MOVG S. OUTFLOW FM THESE CLUSTERS LIKELY TO INTERACT WITH LK/GLF BREEZE THIS AFTN FOR PSBL INCRG TSTM COVERAGE MAINLY OVR LAND AREAS DURG AFTN/EVE...MOVG INTO N GLFMEX OVRNGT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 2KT 250FT... NW 2KT 500FT...WNW 3KT 1KFT... NW 5KT 2KFT... NW 10KT 3KFT... N 13KT 4KFT... NE 10KT 5KFT... N 5KT MAX WIND...355/39KT 35.5FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 400FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 1000FT...COND DRY LAPSE TO 12.5KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 15.6KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 15.6KFT. MOIST TO 950MB/1700FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.54 IN. CAPE 3590 J/KG. LI -8. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...045/13KT 2KFT...015/06KT 3KFT...035/04KT 4KFT...090/07KT 6KFT...095/12KT MAX WIND...305/49KT 37.0FT. 6C SFC INVERSION TO 672FT...DRY LAPSE TO 12.5KFT...ISOTHERMAL TO 13.4KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 13.4KFT. SEMI-MOIST TO 994MB/672FT...MOIST LAYER BTWN 635-470MB...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.57 IN. SBCAPE 2927 J/KG. LI -7. WET MICROBURST AND WATERSPOUT PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251351Z AUTO 34006KT 7SM CLR 29/24 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP147 T02890239 TSNO METAR KGAO 251403Z AUTO 03004KT CLR 29/23 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 251351Z 04003KT 10SM CLR 25/21 A2997 METAR KIPN 251355Z AUTO 04005KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 251355Z AUTO 34009KT 8SM CLR 28/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251355Z AUTO 03007KT 10SM 28/23 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251355Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251355Z AUTO 33011KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2995 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035. AFT 19Z ISOLD 1SM +TSRA BKN022CB G40KT. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT070. AFT 03Z ISOLD-SCT 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G45KT. KHUM 251131Z 2512/2612 33007KT P6SM FEW060 TEMPO 2512/2514 4SM BR FM251500 35003KT P6SM FEW060 FM251800 18004KT P6SM FEW050 FM252000 18007KT P6SM VCTS BKN070CB PROB30 2521/2524 VRB25KT TSRA FM260000 18005KT P6SM BKN070CB FM260300 VRB04KT P6SM SCT070 BKN250 KHSA 251131Z 2512/2612 01002KT P6SM FEW250 FM251500 05004KT P6SM FEW250 FM251800 14006KT P6SM FEW030 SCT070 FM252000 15008KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 2522/2602 VRB25KT TSRA FM260300 05003KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250 FM260900 00000KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN015-020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT VRB WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT015 BKN050..OCNL MVFR BKN015. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT NW WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT025...OCNL MVFR BKN025. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT W-NW WND. .RADAR...AT 0900 CDT NO ECHOES WERE INDICATED IN OR NEAR THE OPS AREA. NO LGTNG WAS DETECTED OVR GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.86 FT AT 0855 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 1756 CDT. WYCM6 2.40 FT AT 0839 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.16 FT AT 0954 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.0F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........28 28 28 45 45 45 45 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............78 78 78 77 77 77 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........F70..........S25.................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........43 32 28 28 29 29 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 80 79 79 78 77 RH..............79 78 81 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 SE 4 E 3 E 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 SE 7 SE 7 E 5 E 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 E 2 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 29 41 41 47 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 77 78 80 80 80 RH..............80 77 75 70 69 69 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 3 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 1800 1800 2300 2100 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 550 550 700 640 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100525.DEEPW.05/LIX