FNUS74 KLIX 251710 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1210 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...A WK TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FM THE BILOXI MARSHES EWD TO NR KAQQ FL. A WEAK 1016MB HIGH WAS CNTRD NR 28N/90W. 3MB GRADIENT ACROSS E GLFMEX FROM 1013MB ALG W FL PEN TO HIGH. 4MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX FM HIGH TO 1012MB ALG TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. SCT STRONG STORMS OVR N-CNTRL MS WILL BE MOVG S TOWARDS THE GLFMEX THRUOUT THE DAY. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DVLP OVR LAND AREAS THIS AFTN. OUTFLOW FM THESE CLUSTERS LKLY TO INTERACT WITH LK/GLF BREEZES THIS AFTN FOR INCRG STRONG TSTM COVERAGE DURG AFTN/EVE...MOVG INTO N GLFMEX OVRNGT. OUTFLOW GUSTS 35-45KT ARE PSBL OVR AND NR OPS AREA THIS EVE/OVRNGT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...NOWCAST ISSUED 1147 AM CDT... ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND QUICKLY INCREASE TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 1 PM. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO ALSO DEVELOP AND MOVE WEST ACROSS THE PEARL RIVER INTO THE NORTHSHORE AREAS OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A FEW OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH...PEA SIZE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NE 2KT 250FT... NE 2KT 500FT... N 2KT 1KFT...NNW 5KT 2KFT...NNE 10KT 3KFT... NE 9KT 4KFT... NE 9KT 5KFT... N 5KT MAX WIND...318/41KT 35.6FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1900FT...SHALLOW LAPSE TO 4200FT...DRY LAPSE TO 14.3KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 16.7KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 16.7KFT. MOIST TO 640MB/12.7KFT...V-SHAPED DRY ABV. CAPE 3494 J/KG. LI -8. WET MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251651Z AUTO 34007KT 7SM CLR 31/24 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP148 T03060244 TSNO METAR KGAO 251703Z AUTO 03005KT CLR 33/23 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 251651Z 12007KT 10SM SCT065 SCT095 32/23 A2997 METAR KIPN 251655Z AUTO 05010KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 251655Z AUTO 01005KT 7SM CLR 29/25 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251655Z AUTO 04008KT 10SM 29/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251655Z AUTO 01007KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251655Z AUTO 35009KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2996 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035. AFT 19Z SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN022CB G40KT. AFT 23Z VFR BKN-OVC100...ISOLD SHRA...BECMG VFR CAVOK AFT 04Z...AREAS MVFR VSBY 2-4SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT070. AFT 02Z SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT. KHUM 251131Z 2512/2612 33007KT P6SM FEW060 TEMPO 2512/2514 4SM BR FM251500 35003KT P6SM FEW060 FM251800 18004KT P6SM FEW050 FM252000 18007KT P6SM VCTS BKN070CB PROB30 2521/2524 VRB25KT TSRA FM260000 18005KT P6SM BKN070CB FM260300 VRB04KT P6SM SCT070 BKN250 KHSA 251131Z 2512/2612 01002KT P6SM FEW250 FM251500 05004KT P6SM FEW250 FM251800 14006KT P6SM FEW030 SCT070 FM252000 15008KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 2522/2602 VRB25KT TSRA FM260300 05003KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250 FM260900 00000KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN015-020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT VRB WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT015 BKN050..OCNL MVFR BKN015. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT NW WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT025...OCNL MVFR BKN025. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT W-NW WND. .RADAR...AT 1200 CDT SCT TSTMS WERE DEVLPG AND INCR IN COVERAGE OVER SE MOBILE BAY...114NM NE OF SPOT LOCATION...MOVG SW 8KT. NO LGTNG DETECTED NR GLFMEX OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.34 FT AT 1139 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 1756 CDT. WYCM6 2.37 FT AT 1039 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.35 FT AT 2058 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............77 77 77 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S70....S25........B25.. SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........43 32 28 28 29 29 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 80 79 79 78 77 RH..............79 78 81 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 SE 4 E 3 E 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 SE 7 SE 7 E 5 E 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 E 2 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 29 41 41 47 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 77 78 80 80 80 RH..............80 77 75 70 69 69 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 3 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 1800 1800 2300 2100 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 550 550 700 640 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100525.DEEPW.08/LIX