FNUS74 KLIX 251813 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 113 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1200 CDT...A WK TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FM THE BILOXI MARSHES EWD TO NR KAQQ FL. A WEAK 1016MB HIGH WAS CNTRD NR 28N/91W. 3MB GRADIENT ACROSS E GLFMEX FROM 1013MB ALG SW FL PEN TO HIGH. 4MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX FM HIGH TO 1012MB ALG TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. SCT STRONG STORMS OVR N-CNTRL MS WILL BE MOVG S TOWARDS THE GLFMEX THRUOUT THE DAY. A CLUSTER OF STRONG STORMS MOVING OFF COASTAL ALABAMA WAS MOVING SW INTO THE GLFMEX. OUFLOW FROM THESE STORMS...SHOULD THEY PERSIST...WILL REACH VCNTY SPILL LOCATION BETWEEN 2000 AND 2100 CDT. GUSTS 35-45KT WILL BE PSBL FM THESE STORMS OVER WATER THIS EVNG. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ENE 9KT 250FT... NE 8KT 500FT... E 7KT 1KFT...ENE 7KT 2KFT...NNE 11KT 3KFT...ENE 8KT 4KFT... NE 7KT 5KFT...ENE 5KT MAX WIND...325/34KT 35.7FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2000FT...SHALLOW WARM LAPSE TO 3400FT...DRY LAPSE TO 13.5KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 16.7KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 16.7KFT. MOIST TO 676MB/1150FT...V-SHAPED DRY ABV. CAPE 2923 J/KG. LI -7. WET MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251751Z AUTO 35006KT 7SM CLR 31/24 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP148 T03110244 10317 20256 58000 TSNO METAR KGAO 251803Z AUTO 01005KT CLR 33/21 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 251751Z 12008KT 10SM -TSRA SCT023 SCT095 29/24 A2996 METAR KIPN 251755Z AUTO 06008KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 251755Z AUTO 04008KT 6SM HZ CLR 28/24 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251755Z AUTO 02006KT 10SM 31/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251755Z AUTO 35008KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251755Z AUTO 34008KT CLR 30/23 A2996 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035. AFT 19Z SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN022CB G40KT. AFT 23Z VFR BKN-OVC100...ISOLD SHRA...BECMG VFR CAVOK AFT 04Z...AREAS MVFR VSBY 2-4SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT070. AFT 02Z SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT. KHUM 251738Z 2518/2618 36005KT P6SM FEW100 FM252100 07008KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB TEMPO 2523/2603 VRB14G23KT TSRA FM260500 07002KT P6SM SCT250 FM261400 04004KT P6SM SCT040 KHSA 251738Z 2518/2618 12007KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB BKN060 TEMPO 2519/2523 VRB14G23KT TSRA FM260100 05002KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 2610/2613 5SM BR FM261400 05004KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN015-020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT VRB WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT015 BKN050..OCNL MVFR BKN015. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT NW WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT025...OCNL MVFR BKN025. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT W-NW WND. .RADAR...AT 1300 CDT SCT TSTMS WERE DEVLPG IN A CLUSTER AND ENTERING THE N GLFMEX NR MOBILE BAY...104NM NE OF SPOT LOCATION...MOVG SW 17KT. NO LGTNG DETECTED NR GLFMEX OPS AREA. IF THE CLUSTER OF STORMS MAINTAINS INTEGRITY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...OUTFLOW GUSTS MAY REACH THE OPS AREA BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM THIS EVENING. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.06 FT AT 1226 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 1756 CDT. WYCM6 2.22 FT AT 1255 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.35 FT AT 2058 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........19 19 34 34 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 RH..............77 77 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S28............... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........34 40 39 39 39 36 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 80 79 79 78 77 RH..............79 78 81 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 SE 4 E 3 E 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....550 550 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 SE 7 SE 7 E 5 E 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 E 2 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........36 31 32 32 35 38 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 77 78 80 80 80 RH..............80 77 75 70 69 69 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 3 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 1800 1800 2300 2100 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 550 550 700 640 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100525.DEEPW.09/LIX