FNUS74 KLIX 252016 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 316 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1400 CDT...A WK TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FM THE BILOXI MARSHES EWD TO NR KAQQ FL. A WEAK 1016MB HIGH WAS CNTRD NR 28N/90W. 3MB GRADIENT ACROSS E GLFMEX FROM 1013MB ALG SW FL PEN TO HIGH. 4MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX FM HIGH TO 1012MB ALG TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. SCT STRONG STORMS OVR SRN MS WILL BE MOVG S TOWARDS THE GLFMEX THIS AFTN. A CLUSTER OF STRONG STORMS MOVING OFF COASTAL ALABAMA WAS MOVING SW INTO THE GLFMEX. OUFLOW FROM THESE STORMS...SHOULD THEY PERSIST...WILL REACH VCNTY SPILL LOCATION BETWEEN 2000 AND 2100 CDT. GUSTS 35-45KT WILL BE PSBL FM THESE STORMS OVER WATER THIS EVNG. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TERREBONNE PARISH UNTIL 330 PM CDT... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 8KT 250FT... E 9KT 500FT... E 9KT 1KFT...ENE 9KT 2KFT...ENE 10KT 3KFT...ENE 6KT 4KFT... NE 7KT 5KFT...NNE 7KT MAX WIND...298/35KT 40.5FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1800FT...SHALLOW WARM LAPSE TO 3300FT...DRY LAPSE TO 13.5KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 13.5KFT. INVERTED V TO 953MB/1800FT. V-SHAPED DRY ABV. CAPE 1755 J/KG. LI -6. WET MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251951Z AUTO 06005KT 7SM CLR 31/24 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP138 T03110239 TSNO METAR KGAO 252003Z AUTO 07006KT CLR 35/20 A2992 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE PWINO METAR KHSA 251955Z 00000KT 5FT -TSRA SCT032 BKN065 21/21 A2997 METAR KIPN 251955Z AUTO 06009KT 10SM FEW016 28/24 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 251955Z AUTO 04008KT 7SM CLR 29/24 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251955Z AUTO 02006KT 10SM 32/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251955Z AUTO 04006KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251955Z AUTO 11008KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2993 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN022CB G50KT A150. AFT 23Z VFR BKN-OVC100...ISOLD SHRA...BECMG VFR CAVOK AFT 04Z...AREAS MVFR VSBY 2-4SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT070. AFT 02Z SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT. KHUM 251738Z 2518/2618 36005KT P6SM FEW100 FM252100 07008KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB TEMPO 2523/2603 VRB14G23KT TSRA FM260500 07002KT P6SM SCT250 FM261400 04004KT P6SM SCT040 KHSA 251738Z 2518/2618 12007KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB BKN060 TEMPO 2519/2523 VRB14G23KT TSRA FM260100 05002KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 2610/2613 5SM BR FM261400 05004KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESAY...MVFR BKN015-020...OCNL VFR SCT020. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT VRB WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT015 BKN050..OCNL MVFR BKN015. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT NW WND XCP G45KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT025...OCNL MVFR BKN025. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAINLY AFT 02Z. LGT W-NW WND. .RADAR...AT 1500 CDT TSTMS WERE ENTERING THE MS SOUND...MOVG S 20KT. IF THE CLUSTER OF STORMS MAINTAINS INTEGRITY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...OUTFLOW GUSTS 35 TO 40KT MAY REACH THE OPS AREA BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM THIS EVENING. NO ECHOES OR LGTNG WAS DETECTED OVER THE OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.91 FT AT 1325 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 1756 CDT. WYCM6 2.14 FT AT 1325 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.35 FT AT 2058 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........34 34 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 81 81 RH..............79 79 77 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 CEILINGS........10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........34 40 39 39 39 36 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 79 79 78 77 RH..............77 78 81 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 8 E 8 E 7 E 7 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 1900 1900 1800 3700 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 580 580 550 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 E 15 E 13 E 13 E 8 NE 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 E 7 E 6 E 6 E 4 NE 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........36 31 32 32 35 38 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 77 78 80 80 80 RH..............80 77 75 70 69 69 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 7 E 7 E 7 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 3800 4200 4200 4000 3300 MIX HGT (M).....1130 1160 1280 1280 1220 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 5 N 10 N 10 NE 10 NE 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 4 NE 2 N 4 N 4 NE 4 NE 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100525.DEEPW.11/LIX