FNUS73 KAPX 261225 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MERIDIAN FIRE...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 825 AM EDT WED MAY 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0749 EDT ON MAY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL HANG TOUGH THROUGH THE DAY...THOUGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE HIGHER THAN THOSE NOTED YESTERDAY AS ADDITIONAL MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA. COMBINED WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN...AND THE INCOMING LAKE HURON LAKE BREEZE BY EARLY AFTERNOON...WE COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FIRE OFF ROUGHLY 2 PM ONWARD THROUGH THE EVENING...MOST LIKELY EAST OF THE WILDFIRE AREA. LIGHT WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING WILL TRANSITION TOWARD A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION...THOUGH MAY AGAIN BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE LAKE BREEZE ATTEMPTS TO WORK INLAND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM FROM 2 PM THROUGH EARLY EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........62 AT REQUEST...MAX 85. MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH MID MORNING. GUSTIER AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8100 FT AGL THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0) AT REQUEST. MAX...GOOD (500). TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........12 5 5 5 21 21 21 48 48 48 71 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....FOG RW RW RW RW TEMP............58 62 67 73 79 81 82 83 85 85 85 RH..............93 84 72 59 50 48 47 47 47 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W NW N NW NW W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 4 3 2 1 1 2 4 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 0 200 300 300 300 300 300 300 400 500 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........71 71 34 34 34 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW TEMP............83 80 77 74 72 69 66 63 61 59 58 57 RH..............53 58 64 70 73 77 79 77 77 77 75 75 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N NW NW NW N N N NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....84. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 5 5 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 63 71 78 83 84 RH..............77 60 47 36 28 26 20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 25 $$ FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100526.MERID.01/APX