FNAK79 PAFG 271738
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
938 AM AKDT THU MAY 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0844 AKDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM AKDT
THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...HOT DRY AND UNSTABLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS
A GOOD CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO APPEARING OVER THE FIRE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE GOOD NEWS IS...THERE IS ENOUGH MID LEVEL
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE MAINLY WET THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS AND THEY HAVE THE
CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL.

THERE IS A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM
RHS WILL BE BELOW 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL RECOVER ABOVE 30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. LOW RHS WILL MOST LIKELY
RETURN TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SCATTERED WET
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 50. HIGH 81.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 51. HIGH 83. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50. HIGH 79. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BERG/ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100527.MOOSE.01/AFG