FNUS73 KAPX 271232 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MERIDIAN FIRE...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 832 AM EDT THU MAY 27 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0814 EDT ON MAY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY... BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER ROUND OF DRY WEATHER. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY...WHILE VEERING SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. COMBINATION OF WARMING TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 80 AND DEWPOINTS MIXING OUT INTO THE MID 40S WILL SET THE STAGE FOR AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROPPING TO NEAR 30 PERCENT. GOOD RH RECOVERY EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS TEMPERATURES DROP BACK INTO THE LOWER 50S. GUSTY WINDS ALSO EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE QUICKLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT NORTHERLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. BOTH TEMPERATURE AND RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH/EXCEED CRITICAL LEVELS ON FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT REQUEST...MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT (1100). MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........38 38 38 38 38 38 16 16 16 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 66 69 73 75 77 78 79 79 79 RH..............67 58 51 41 37 35 34 32 31 31 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 10 11 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 300 500 700 900 1000110010001000900 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....53. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........1 1 18 18 18 18 18 18 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 74 71 67 63 61 58 57 56 55 54 54 RH..............33 37 41 49 58 63 70 70 69 69 71 71 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..11 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100). MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 13 13 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 61 69 76 81 81 RH..............80 67 48 34 29 27 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 6 N 7 N 7 N 6 N 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 10 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 100 600 1000 1000 900 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100527.MERID.01/APX