FNUS74 KLIX 271218 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPEDALE...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 718 AM CDT THU MAY 27 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...WK 1014MB HIGH PRES CNTRD NR 27.5N/90W. 1010MB TROF ALG W FL CST FROM APALACHEE BAY TO KFMY. 1012MB ELY WAVE ALG 93W...MOVG W 7KT. 3MB GRADIENT HIGH TO FL TROF. 2MB GRADIENT HIGH TO ELY WAVE. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1013MB. HYBRID CHANNEL SAT IMAGERY CONTINUED TO DETECT A WEAKENING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN THE NE GLFMEX...FROM 71NM SE OF KPNS TO 193NM SE OF KPNS...MOVG SW 16KT. GUSTS 20-25KT LKLY WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND TRENDS...ETA SPILL LOCATION AROUND 1015 CDT. 06Z WRF MODEL ALSO INDICATED INITIATION OF CONVECTION IN THE CHANDELEUR AND BRETON SOUNDS AROUND 0900 CDT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KNEW - NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT AIRPORT ASOS ...KASD - SLIDELL LA ASOS METAR KNEW 271153Z AUTO 32007KT 10SM CLR 26/22 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP133 7//// T02610222 10261 20239 53011 TSNO METAR KASD 271153Z AUTO 00000KT 8SM CLR 21/19 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP136 T02110194 10217 20194 53010 METAR KBVE 271151Z AUTO 31003KT 6SM BR CLR 23/22 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP136 T02330217 10233 20217 51011 TSNO .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE INCRSG IN COVERAGE NR AND SE OF THE CHANDELEUR ISLANDS...MOVG S 10KT. WATERSPOUTS AND G25KT PSBL WITH THESE SHWRS. NO LGTNG WAS INDICATED NEAR THE SOUNDS BUT LGTNG MAY ONSET WITHIN THE HOUR. 06Z WRF MODEL CONVECTIVE INITIATION INDICATED FOR AROUND 0900 CDT IN THE BRETON SOUND AREA. IF ACCURATE STORMS CAN INITIATE RAPIDLY WITH OCNL TO FRQ LTGNG AND OUTFLOW GUSTS 30-40KT BTWN 0900-1000 OVER/NR THE SOUNDS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.30 FT AT 0638 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.29 FT AT 0755 CDT. GRPL1 1.09 FT AT 0623 CDT RISING. CHANDELEUR LIGHT HOUSE (MLLW FT...ASTRONOMICAL NO WEATHER INFLUENCES) 05/27/2010 THU 10:01AM LDT 1.7 H 09:18PM LDT -0.4 L 05/28/2010 FRI 10:40AM LDT 1.7 H 10:02PM LDT -0.4 L 05/29/2010 SAT 11:19AM LDT 1.7 H 10:45PM LDT -0.3 L 05/30/2010 SUN 11:56AM LDT 1.6 H 11:25PM LDT -0.2 L 05/31/2010 MON 12:32PM LDT 1.5 H .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........28 28 28 32 32 32 41 41 41 42 42 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 77 79 81 83 84 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............84 79 74 70 67 65 63 62 60 60 60 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........42 45 45 45 45 47 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............84 80 78 77 76 76 RH..............61 69 76 80 83 81 20 FT WIND......W 3 SW 4 W 5 W 6 W 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........47 50 50 50 55 55 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............76 79 82 84 85 85 RH..............79 73 66 64 62 61 20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 6 NW 5 NW 4 NW 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100527.HOPED.04/LIX