FNUS75 KPUB 270950
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAT SPRINGS RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
350 AM MDT THU MAY 27 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS INCREASED A BIT OVER THE BURN AREA AS DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAN JUANS AND ADJACENT AREA HAVE COME UP A BIT
IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. LIKEWISE...WE MAY SEE A BIT BETTER CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TODAY. OVERALL...THE LARGE SCALE
PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH WITH A CONTINUED MODEST SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OVER THE AREA. ONCE WE MIX OUT LATER THIS MORNING EXPECT 20 FOOT
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP.

THE SAME GENERAL PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE TOMORROW.

SATURDAY 20 FOOT WINDS MAY BE MORE OF A CONCERN AS A STRONG TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY SUNNY(52
                    PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH  UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH
                    12-16 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(46 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH
                    10-14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 10500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100527.HATSP.01/PUB