FNUS75 KBOU 290331 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 925 PM MDT FRI MAY 28 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WHAT DOES THIS MEANS FOR THE AREA AROUND THE WILDFIRE? SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO A WEST-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION OVERNIGHT...WITH SOME INCREASE IN SPEED AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE STRONGER WINDS WILL BE FELT ON THE SURROUNDING HIGHER RIDGES...ALTHOUGH LOWER DOWN AROUND THE FIRE GUSTY DOWNSLOPE/ DOWNVALLEY WINDS MAY APPEAR FROM TIME TO TIME. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO COOL WITH READINGS BOTTOMING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL ALSO RESULT IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY WITH MAXIMUM RHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S BY MORNING. THE GUSTY WEST- SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING TO A NORTH-NORTHEAST DIRECTION LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). BREEZY AT TIMES. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-58. MAX HUMIDITY........36-39%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%) UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-79. MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH UNTIL 0900... THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1600... THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0930...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2200...THEN CLEAR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/ DOWNVALLEY 4-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 2800-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BLUE MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/28-21 22 10 69 27 SW 12 18 4 2 S25 210 SW 15 2742 P 05/28-22 22 10 66 29 SW 16 2 190 SW 17 2791 P 05/28-23 22 0 64 30 SW 20 1 170 SW 20 2840 P 05/29-00 23 0 62 32 SW 21 33 4 1 S21 150 SW 22 2889 P 05/29-01 23 0 60 34 W 20 1 152 SW 20 2647 P 05/29-02 23 0 58 36 W 17 1 153 W 18 2405 P 05/29-03 11 0 57 37 W 14 22 3 1 S28 155 W 16 2163 P 05/29-04 11 0 57 37 W 13 1 168 W 15 2101 P 05/29-05 11 0 57 36 W 12 1 182 W 13 2039 P 05/29-06 38 0 57 36 W 10 16 4 1 S23 195 W 12 1977 P 05/29-07 38 0 58 36 W 8 1 326 SW 10 2738 P 05/29-08 38 0 60 35 SW 5 1 458 SW 9 3499 P 05/29-09 28 0 63 32 SW 3 3 5 1 S28 589 SW 8 4260 P 05/29-10 28 10 66 27 SW 3 2 2294 SW 10 29033 P 05/29-11 28 10 68 24 S 6 2 4000 SW 14 53807 F 05/29-12 54 10 70 21 S 7 7 4 2 SW35 5705 SW 16 78580 G 05/29-13 54 10 71 20 SW 8 2 6148 SW 15 81337 G 05/29-14 54 20 72 20 SW 8 3 6592 SW 15 84093 G 05/29-15 54 20 72 20 W 9 15 4 3 SW17 7035 SW 14 86850 G 05/29-16 54 20 72 21 W 12 3 6538 W 13 72216 G 05/29-17 54 20 72 22 NW 13 3 6041 W 10 57582 F 05/29-18 56 21 70 25 NW 14 22 3 3 S20 5544 W 9 42948 F 05/29-19 56 21 68 27 NW 13 3 5072 NW 8 36566 P 05/29-20 56 21 64 32 N 10 3 4601 NW 7 30183 P 05/29-21 56 21 60 37 N 8 13 2 3 S26 4130 NW 7 23801 P 05/29-22 56 21 57 41 NE 7 3 4000 NW 6 21500 P 05/29-23 56 21 55 45 E 6 3 3424 SW 5 14022 P 05/30-00 0 0 53 48 SE 6 6 2 1 S33 2848 S 2 6544 P 05/30-01 0 0 51 51 SE 5 1 2823 S 2 6941 P 05/30-02 0 0 50 54 S 5 1 2797 SW 3 7338 P 05/30-03 0 0 48 56 S 3 3 2 1 SW39 2771 SW 3 7735 P 05/30-04 0 0 48 56 SW 3 1 2926 SW 2 6699 P 05/30-05 0 0 47 56 W 3 1 3080 SW 2 5662 P 05/30-06 0 0 47 56 W 3 3 2 1 SW39 3234 CALM 4626 P 05/30-07 0 0 50 53 W 5 1 3992 SW 5 22140 P 05/30-08 0 0 52 49 S 7 1 4751 SW 8 39654 P 05/30-09 21 0 56 43 SE 8 8 2 1 SW38 5509 SW 12 57168 F 05/30-10 21 0 59 39 SE 9 1 6018 SW 13 65038 G 05/30-11 21 0 62 35 SE 10 1 6526 SW 13 72907 G 05/30-12 44 9 64 32 E 10 16 2 1 SW38 7035 SW 13 80776 G 05/30-13 44 9 65 28 E 10 1 7231 SW 12 72216 G 05/30-14 44 9 65 25 E 9 1 7427 SW 10 63656 G 05/30-15 51 10 66 24 E 8 8 2 2 W31 7623 SW 8 55096 F 05/30-16 51 10 66 26 E 8 2 7341 SW 8 50189 F 05/30-17 51 10 66 30 E 8 2 7059 SW 7 45282 F 05/30-18 56 20 65 35 E 8 8 2 3 W28 6777 SW 7 40374 F 05/30-19 56 20 63 39 E 8 3 5725 SW 6 31766 P 05/30-20 56 20 60 45 SE 7 3 4672 S 6 23157 P 05/30-21 56 6 57 51 S 7 7 2 1 W26 3620 S 5 14548 P 05/30-22 25 6 55 55 SW 7 1 2592 SW 5 10436 P 05/30-23 25 6 53 57 W 6 1 1565 W 5 6323 P 05/31-00 25 0 51 58 W 6 6 2 1 SW36 537 W 5 2211 P 05/31-01 25 0 50 56 W 6 1 431 W 5 1779 P 05/31-02 25 0 49 54 W 6 1 326 W 5 1346 P 05/31-03 7 0 48 52 W 6 6 3 1 W31 220 W 5 914 P 05/31-04 7 0 48 49 W 6 1 220 W 5 877 P 05/31-05 7 0 47 46 W 6 1 219 W 5 840 P 05/31-06 7 0 47 45 W 6 6 3 1 W28 219 W 5 804 P 05/31-07 7 0 49 43 W 6 1 1705 W 6 13884 P 05/31-08 7 0 55 38 SW 7 1 3192 W 8 26963 P 05/31-09 7 0 60 33 S 7 7 3 1 W25 4678 SW 10 40043 F 05/31-10 7 0 64 28 SE 8 1 6991 W 13 82832 G 05/31-11 33 0 68 24 E 8 1 9303 W 15 125621 V 05/31-12 33 6 70 21 E 8 8 3 1 W26 11616 W 16 168410 E 05/31-13 46 6 72 20 E 8 1 12153 W 16 171658 E 05/31-14 46 6 73 19 E 7 1 12691 W 16 174906 E 05/31-15 53 6 73 18 E 7 7 3 1 W25 13229 W 15 178154 E 05/31-16 53 6 74 18 E 6 1 11988 W 14 144843 V 05/31-17 53 6 73 19 NE 5 1 10746 W 12 111532 V 05/31-18 53 6 72 21 NE 5 5 3 1 W24 9505 W 9 78221 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SANRT REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100528.BLUEM.01/BOU