FNUS75 KGJT 281810
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY CREEK 2...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1210 PM MDT FRI MAY 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1111 MDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING DUE TO
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
WINDY AND DRY. STRONG GUSTS WILL LAST INTO THE LATE EVENING AS A
LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DROPS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. RED FLAG
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONE 205 WHICH INCLUDES THE BURN SITE.
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT OR
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE SATURDAY AS THE
TROUGH EJECTS TO THE NORTHEAST. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH
ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RH VALUES AS TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY
COOLER SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN 4TO 8
                    MPH AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST 10 TO 15 OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...FRANK RICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100528.DRYCR.01/GJT