FNUS74 KLIX 282321 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 621 PM CDT FRI MAY 28 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1800 CDT...THERE WAS A RATHER WEAK 4 MB GRADIENT ACROSS THE GLFMEX...1008MB OVR FL BIG BEND TO 1012MB NEAR THE LWR TX CST. THIS IS LEADING TO VERY LIGHT NW-W WINDS. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1009MB. AS FOR TSTM ACTIVITY MUCH OF THE OPERATIONS OVER THE WATER HAS REMAINED CLEAR WITH TSTMS...SOME SEVERE...REMAINING MAINLY OVER THE LAND AREAS. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...ISOLTD SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 9KT 250FT... S 13KT 500FT...SSW 13KT 1KFT...SSW 14KT 2KFT...WSW 8KT 3KFT...WNW 11KT 4KFT... NW 12KT 5KFT... NW 15KT MAX WIND...274/62KT 40.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 1300FT. ENTIRE COLUMN IS DRY P.W. 1.19". .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 282251Z AUTO 22007KT 9SM CLR 30/21 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP085 T03000211 TSNO METAR KGAO 282303Z AUTO 20005KT CLR 29/21 A2978 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W AND NW PWINO METAR KHSA 282251Z 24005KT 10SM SCT060 BKN075 29/22 A2975 METAR KIPN 282320Z AUTO 27009KT 10SM SCT016 29/24 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 282315Z AUTO 00000KT 7SM CLR 31/23 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 282315Z AUTO 26007KT 10SM 29/22 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 282315Z AUTO 25008KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 282315Z AUTO 24008KT 10SM CLR 31/21 A2977 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035. LGT VRB WND. CHC TSRA G30KT. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVU. BTWN 06Z-12Z CHC BKN020CB OUTFLW G25KT SHRA/TSRA. KHUM 282301Z 2823/2918 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB TEMPO 2823/2901 VRB20G30KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM290300 26003KT P6SM FEW060 SCT250 FM290700 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 FM291400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 281740Z 2818/2918 01005KT P6SM SCT050 FM282000 28007KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 SCT070 TEMPO 2822/2824 VRB20G30KT 3SM TSRA BKN040CB FM290100 32003KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM291400 36004KT P6SM SCT030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...MVFR BKN020...OCNL SCT020. ISOLD TSRA. NW WND 10KT XCP G40KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR SCT-BKN018 BKN-OVC030 SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. .RADAR...AT 1700 CDT...SCT TSTMS OVER MUCH OF SE LA AND THE SRN HALF OF MS ARE MOVG TO THE SOUTH TWRDS THE NRN GULF. SOME ACTIVITY HAS HAD THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS. THAT SAID MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED OVER THE LAND AND AS IT PUSHES INTO THE GULF WEAKENS RAPIDLY. WITH THAT OPERATIONS NEAR THE SPILL SITE SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN CLEAR FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.49 FT AT 1735 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.06 FT AT 2000 CDT. WYCM6 0.97 FT AT 1743 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.15 FT AT 0003 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85F .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........45 37 37 37 37 37 46 46 46 46 46 46 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............72 72 74 74 74 77 77 77 77 74 74 77 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...M M M M M M M M M M M M MIX HGT (KM)....M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC CH CH CH CH LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 43 43 43 54 54 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 81 82 82 82 RH..............77 77 77 72 71 71 20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 6 N 4 SE 3 S 4 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....M M M M M M MIX HGT (M).....M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 9 W 8 W 8 SW 7 SW 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 NW 4 W 4 W 4 SW 3 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM LC LC .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............68 67 72 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 4000 3900 3900 3600 4000 MIX HGT (M).....940 1220 1190 1190 1100 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 13 SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...JULIA OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100528.DEEPW.13/LIX