FNUS74 KLIX 290024 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 724 PM CDT FRI MAY 28 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1900 CDT...THERE WAS A RATHER WEAK 4 MB GRADIENT ACROSS THE GLFMEX...1008MB OVR FL BIG BEND TO 1012MB NEAR THE LWR TX CST. THIS IS LEADING TO VERY LIGHT NW-W WINDS. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1009MB. AS FOR TSTM ACTIVITY MUCH OF THE OPERATIONS OVER THE WATER HAS REMAINED CLEAR...WITH TSTMS...SOME SEVERE...REMAINING MAINLY OVER THE LAND AREAS CLOSE TO THE COAST NOW. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...ISOLTD SVR TSTMS MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 9KT 250FT... S 13KT 500FT...SSW 13KT 1KFT...SSW 14KT 2KFT...WSW 8KT 3KFT...WNW 11KT 4KFT... NW 12KT 5KFT... NW 15KT MAX WIND...274/62KT 40.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 1300FT. ENTIRE COLUMN IS DRY P.W. 1.19". .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 282351Z AUTO 22006KT 9SM CLR 28/22 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP085 T02830222 10311 20283 56009 TSNO METAR KGAO 290003Z AUTO 21007KT CLR 28/22 A2979 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE PWINO METAR KHSA 282351Z 27005KT 7SM SCT060 BKN110 27/22 A2976 METAR KIPN 290000Z AUTO 27008KT SCT016 SCT021 29/24 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 282355Z AUTO 00000G11KT 8SM CLR 30/23 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 282355Z AUTO 26007KT 10SM 29/23 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 282355Z AUTO 27010KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 282355Z AUTO 24012KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2978 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035. LGT VRB WND. CHC TSRA G30KT. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVU. BTWN 06Z-12Z CHC BKN020CB OUTFLW G25KT SHRA/TSRA. KHUM 282328Z 2900/2924 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB TEMPO 2900/2901 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM290300 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 FM291100 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 FM291400 35004KT P6SM FEW030 FM291800 21005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 2919/2923 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB KHSA 282328Z 2900/2924 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB TEMPO 2900/2902 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM290300 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250 FM291100 00000KT 5SM BR FEW250 FM291400 36004KT P6SM SCT040 FM291800 20005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 2919/2923 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 290200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...MVFR BKN020...OCNL SCT020. ISOLD TSRA. NW WND 10KT XCP G40KT NR TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR SCT-BKN018 BKN-OVC030 SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. .RADAR...AT 1900 CDT...SCT TSTMS OVER SE LA AND THE SRN HALF OF MS ARE MOVG TO THE SOUTH TWRDS THE NRN GULF. SOME ACTIVITY HAS HAD THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS BUT THIS ACTIVITY FINALLY APPEARS TO BE WANING. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED OVER THE LAND AND AS IT PUSHES INTO THE GULF WEAKENS RAPIDLY. ON ANOTHER NOTE ONE WEAK SHOWER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE SPILL SITE BUT AS OF NOW WE HAVE NOT DETECTED ANY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH IT AND IT ALREADY APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.35 FT AT 1831 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.06 FT AT 2000 CDT. WYCM6 0.71 FT AT 1835 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.15 FT AT 0003 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85F .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........37 37 37 37 37 46 46 46 46 46 46 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............72 74 74 74 77 77 77 77 74 74 77 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...M M M M M M M M M M M MIX HGT (KM)....M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC CH CH CH CH LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 43 43 43 54 54 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 81 82 82 82 RH..............77 77 77 72 71 71 20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 6 N 4 SE 3 S 4 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....M M M M M M MIX HGT (M).....M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 9 W 8 W 8 SW 7 SW 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 NW 4 W 4 W 4 SW 3 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM LC LC .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............68 67 72 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 4000 3900 3900 3600 4000 MIX HGT (M).....940 1220 1190 1190 1100 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 13 SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100528.DEEPW.14/LIX