FNUS74 KLIX 291114 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 614 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...A 1007MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE N GLFMEX CST. NMRS SHWRS/TSTMS WERE OFF THE LA CST MOVG SE 28KT INTO THE CNTRL GLFMEX. AN UPPER LVL DISTURBNC DROPPING OUT OF CNTRL MS WILL BRING AN INCR IN STRONG/SVR TSTM COVRG THIS AFTN/EVNG ALG THE CST...MOVG INTO THE N GLFMEX WATERS OVRNGT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 14KT 250FT... NW 14KT 500FT...WNW 14KT 1KFT...WNW 15KT 2KFT...WNW 12KT 3KFT...WNW 8KT 4KFT... NW 5KT 5KFT... NW 4KT MAX WIND...271/69KT 46.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 350FT...WARM LAPSE TO 2500FT...DRY LAPSE TO 8200FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 8200F. SEMI-SATURATED TO 850MB...DRY TO 800MB...CONVRGG CURVES ABV 800MB...SATURATED ABV 550MB. LI -7. SBCAPE 2375 J/KG. P.W. 1.71 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 324/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291051Z AUTO 23005KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2977 RMK AO2 SLP081 T02390206 TSNO METAR KGAO 291103Z AUTO 00000KT 22/21 A2978 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S AND SW PWINO METAR KHSA 290155Z 34003KT 10SM SCT060 24/21 A2977 RMK LAST METAR KIPN 291100Z AUTO 25009KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2977 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291055Z AUTO 35005KT 7SM 26/22 A2978 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291055Z AUTO 33009KT 10SM 27/22 A2977 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291055Z AUTO 23005KT 10SM FEW048 FEW055 SCT075 26/19 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291055Z AUTO 21009KT 10SM CLR 26/22 A2976 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...TIL 14Z NO CIGS AREAS VSBY 4-6SM BR. AFT 14Z...VFR SCT035. BTWN 19Z-01Z VFR SCT045...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 01Z VFR BKN-OVC120. AFT 04Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...N OF 29N VFR CAVOK. S OF 29N MVFR CIGS BKN-OVC025...AREAS 2SM TSRA G25KT. AFT 15Z VFR SCT-BKN100. AFT 02Z VFR SCT030...XPT LCL 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G40KT MOVG N-S FM COAST. KHUM 291004Z 2910/3006 34004KT 4SM BR SKC FM291400 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 FM292100 19006KT P6SM SCT050CB FM300300 19004KT P6SM SCT060CB KHSA 290520Z 2906/3006 VRB03KT P6SM FEW110 FM291100 00000KT 5SM BR FEW250 FM291400 36004KT P6SM FEW030 FM291800 20005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 2919/2923 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 0600 CDT...A LARGE COMPLEX OF TSTMS XTNDD FM 143NM TO 109NM W-SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SE 28KT. G30-35KT NR TSTMS. ISOLD TSTMS ALSO DETECTED 78NM E AND 95NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION...DRIFTG S. ANOTHER COMPLEX OF TSTMS CURRENTLY OVR CNTRL MS NR KJAN...MOVG S 19KT ASSOCD WITH UPPER LOW. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.90 FT AT 0538 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.29 FT AT 0926 CDT. WYCM6 1.15 FT AT 0538 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.49 FT AT 1255 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 81.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........46 43 43 43 43 43 43 54 54 54 54 54 WEATHER COV.....ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 81 82 83 83 82 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............72 70 73 73 74 72 70 66 66 69 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 4 3 2 3 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........B40................B80........................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 78 RH..............69 71 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 78 81 83 84 84 RH..............84 78 65 61 59 59 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.02/LIX