FNUS74 KLIX 291313 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 813 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...A 1007MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE N GLFMEX CST FM VERMILION PARISH CST...THRU N.O...ALG MS CST TO FL CST NR KPAM...STNRY. SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS WERE OFF THE S LA CST MOVG SE 28KT INTO THE CNTRL GLFMEX AND DIMINISHG IN COVRG. AN UPPER LVL DISTURBNC DROPPING OUT OF CNTRL MS WILL BRING AN INCR IN STRONG/SVR TSTM COVRG THIS AFTN/EVNG ALG THE CST...MOVG INTO THE N GLFMEX WATERS OVRNGT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WSW 7KT 250FT... W 8KT 500FT...WNW 9KT 1KFT...WNW 11KT 2KFT...WNW 10KT 3KFT...WNW 6KT 4KFT... NW 4KT 5KFT... NW 4KT MAX WIND...272/70KT 46.3KFT. MARINE LAYER SFC TO 270FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 1800FT...DRY LAPSE TO 7400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 7400F. DRY TO 800MB...CONVRGG CURVES ABV 800MB...SATURATED ABV 550MB. LI -6. SBCAPE 2149 J/KG. P.W. 1.60 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 327/3KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...305/05KT 2KFT...345/05KT 3KFT...020/05KT 4KFT...020/05KT 5KFT...350/10KT MAX WIND...275/52KT 33KFT. MARINE LAYER SFC TO 700FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 1600FT...DRY LAPSE TO 4500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 4500F. SATURATED TO 600FT...PARALLEL CURVES 6C SPREAD TO 610MB...DRY ABV. LI -9. SBCAPE 3460 J/KG. P.W. 1.53 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 004/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291251Z AUTO 27004KT 8SM CLR 27/23 A2980 RMK AO2 SLP091 T02670228 TSNO METAR KGAO 291303Z AUTO 20006KT SCT020 27/22 A2981 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S PWINO METAR KHSA 291251Z 03006KT 7SM CLR 23/21 A2980 METAR KIPN 291300Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291255Z AUTO 00000KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/22 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291255Z AUTO 14017KT 10SM 27/22 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291255Z AUTO 27013KT 10SM CLR 26/22 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291255Z AUTO 27009G15KT 9SM FEW120 26/23 A2978 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...TIL 14Z VFR CIGS OVC100 W OF MS RVR LCL VSBY 4-6SM BR. AFT 14Z...VFR SCT035. BTWN 19Z-01Z VFR SCT045...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 01Z VFR BKN-OVC120. AFT 04Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...N OF 29N VFR CAVOK. S OF 29N MVFR CIGS BKN-OVC025...AREAS 2SM TSRA G25KT. AFT 15Z VFR SCT-BKN100. AFT 02Z VFR SCT030...XPT LCL 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G40KT MOVG N-S FM COAST. KHUM 291120Z 2912/3012 VRB05KT P6SM FEW030 TEMPO 2912/2913 5SM BR FM291500 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 FM292100 19006KT P6SM SCT050CB FM300300 19004KT P6SM SCT060CB FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 KHSA 291120Z 2912/3012 00000KT P6SM SCT060 TEMPO 2912/2913 6SM BR FM291400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW035 FM291700 VRB05KT P6SM SCT050CB FM292100 22004KT P6SM SCT060CB BKN250 FM300300 19002KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT...A DIMINISHING COMPLEX OF TSTMS XTNDD FM 218NM TO 102NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SE 25KT. G30-35KT NR TSTMS. ISOLD TSTMS ALSO INCRG IN COVERAGE E OF SPILL LOCATION FM 121NM NE TO 997M SE OF SPILL LOCATION...AREAL MOVMT SE 15KT. NO ECHOES OR LGTNG DETECTED WITHIN 50NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.14 FT AT 0723 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.29 FT AT 0926 CDT. WYCM6 1.56 FT AT 0755 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.60 FT AT 1310 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 81.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........43 43 43 43 43 54 54 54 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 83 83 82 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............73 73 74 72 70 66 66 69 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 3 2 3 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........O80.....B80....S35..................... SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 78 RH..............69 71 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 78 81 83 84 84 RH..............84 78 65 61 59 59 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.04/LIX