FNUS74 KLIX 291718 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1218 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1200 CDT...A 1009MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE N GLFMEX CST FM ATCHAFALAY BAY...THRU N.O...ALG MS CST TO FL CST NR KPNS...MOVMT STNRY. ISOLD CLUSTERS OF TSTMS BEING TRIGGERED IN VCNTY OF THIS TROF. AN UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO MOVE S TWDS THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLGT RISK SVR TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MS RIVER DELTA... AT 1130 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 30 KNOTS...ABOUT 5 NM EAST OF PILOTTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES... AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. MARINERS IN THE VICINTY OF THE MS RIVER DELTA...INCLUDING THOSE INVOLVED IN SHORE LINE COASTAL CLEANING ACTIVITIES...SHOULD SEE SAFE HARBOR AND SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 2KT 250FT... SW 5KT 500FT... SW 6KT 1KFT... SW 8KT 2KFT... SW 9KT 3KFT... S 8KT 4KFT...SSE 9KT 5KFT...SSE 7KT MAX WIND...283/65KT 45.7KFT. COND LAPSE SFC TO 7500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 7500FT. INVERTED V SFC TO 964MB/1100FT...V-SHAPED DRY TO 825MB/5700FT...MOIST LAYER 800 TO 700MB...V-SHAPED DRY ABV 700MB. LI -6. SBCAPE 2198 J/KG...P.W. 1.49 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 293/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291651Z AUTO 10005KT 6SM HZ FEW100 27/23 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP103 T02720228 TSNO METAR KGAO 291703Z AUTO 25003KT SCT037 SCT050 31/22 A2981 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 291651Z 00000KT 7SM CLR 29/21 A2981 METAR KIPN 291655Z AUTO 24007KT 220V290 10SM CLR 29/22 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291655Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 31/22 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291655Z AUTO 30008KT 10SM 27/21 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291655Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291655Z AUTO 28004KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2982 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CIGS OVC100 W OF MS RVR...OTHWS VFR SCT035. TIL 01Z VFR SCT045...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 01Z VFR BKN-OVC120. AFT 04Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...N OF 29N VFR CAVOK. S OF 29N MVFR CIGS BKN-OVC025...AREAS 2SM TSRA G25KT. AFT 15Z VFR SCT-BKN100. AFT 02Z VFR SCT030...XPT LCL 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G40KT MOVG N-S FM CST. KHUM 291120Z 2912/3012 VRB05KT P6SM FEW030 TEMPO 2912/2913 5SM BR FM291500 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 FM292100 19006KT P6SM SCT050CB FM300300 19004KT P6SM SCT060CB FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 KHSA 291120Z 2912/3012 00000KT P6SM SCT060 TEMPO 2912/2913 6SM BR FM291400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW035 FM291700 VRB05KT P6SM SCT050CB FM292100 22004KT P6SM SCT060CB BKN250 FM300300 19002KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1200 CDT...TSTMS WERE OVER THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER ...42NM TO 78NM NW OF OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SE 7KT. OCNL LGTNG AND HVY RAFL THESE CELLS. LTGNG INDICATED 42NM NW OF SPILL LOCATION NR SOUTH PASS. ANOTHER SHWR 48NM W OF SPILL LOCATION MAY DEVLP LGTNG BY 1215 CDT...MOVG SE 5KT. LARGE CLUSTER OF SVR TSTMS OVER NW FL PANHNDL MOVG N 10KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.91 FT AT 1149 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.26 FT AT 2214 CDT. WYCM6 2.36 FT AT 1149 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.60 FT AT 1310 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.8F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 83 83 RH..............70 66 70 20 FT WIND......SW 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2700 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 820 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 7 W 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 4 W 3 W 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 CEILINGS........B30............... SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 78 RH..............69 71 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 78 81 83 84 84 RH..............84 78 65 61 59 59 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.08/LIX