FNUS74 KLIX 291816 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 116 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1300 CDT...A 1009MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ALG THE N GLFMEX CST FM ATCHAFALAY BAY...THRU N.O...ALG MS CST TO FL CST NR KPNS...MOVMT STNRY. TSTMS WERE IGNITING ALG AND TO THE S OF THIS TROF. AN UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO MOVE S TWDS THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2000CDT FOR THE ENTIRE LIX CWA INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS OUT 20NM FROM SHORE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 4KT 250FT... SW 5KT 500FT... SW 5KT 1KFT... SW 7KT 2KFT... SW 9KT 3KFT... SW 8KT 4KFT... S 7KT 5KFT... S 6KT MAX WIND...276/70KT 40.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 3700FT. INVERTED V SFC TO 980MB/900FT...V-SHAPED DRY TO 825MB/5700FT...MOIST LAYER 800 TO 700MB...V-SHAPED DRY ABV 700MB. LI -6. SBCAPE 2046 J/KG...P.W. 1.44 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 305/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291751Z AUTO 17004KT 6SM HZ FEW010 28/24 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB21E49 SLP096 P0004 60004 T02830239 10294 20250 58002 TSNO METAR KGAO 291803Z AUTO 27006KT VCTS SCT001 SCT041 31/23 A2979 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W THRU E METAR KHSA 291750Z 00000KT 07SM CLR 31/19 A2979 METAR KIPN 291800Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291755Z AUTO 21004KT 8SM CLR 30/22 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291755Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM 28/20 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291755Z AUTO 22007KT 10SM CLR 28/21 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291755Z AUTO 22004KT 10SM CLR 32/22 A2980 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CIGS OVC100 W OF MS RVR...OTHWS VFR SCT035. TIL 01Z VFR SCT045...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 01Z VFR BKN-OVC120. AFT 04Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA. AFT 00Z... VFR SCT035...XPT LCL 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G40KT MOVG N-S FM CST. KHUM 291730Z 2918/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 FM292100 19005KT P6SM SCT040CB FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 FM301500 16005KT P6SM BKN030CB KHSA 291730Z 2918/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040CB FM300300 VRB02KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB FM301500 15005KT P6SM BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1300 CDT...TSTMS WERE ALG THE LWR MS RIVER ...63NM TO 118NM NW OF OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SE 7KT. OCNL LGTNG AND HVY RAFL THESE CELLS. LTGNG INDICATED 78NM NW OF SPILL LOCATION NR PT SULPHUR. ANOTHER SHWR 47NM W OF SPILL LOCATION MAY DEVLP LGTNG BY 1400 CDT...MOVG SE 3KT. LARGE CLUSTER OF SVR TSTMS OVER NW FL PANHNDL MOVG N 10KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.78 FT AT 1254 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.26 FT AT 2214 CDT. WYCM6 2.44 FT AT 1238 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.60 FT AT 1310 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.2F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........54 54 54 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............83 83 83 83 83 RH..............66 66 69 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........S30................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 78 RH..............69 71 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 78 81 83 84 84 RH..............84 78 65 61 59 59 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.09/LIX