FNUS74 KLIX 292013 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 313 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1500 CDT...A 1008MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ORIENTED NW-SE FM EXTR SW MS...THRU KHSA...VCNTY 28N/87W. 1012MB HIGH NR 27N/90W. UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO MOVE S TWDS THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX CST TWD SFC TROF. TSTMS TO CONT INCRG IN COVERG AND INTENSITY THRU RMNDR OF AFTN/ERLY EVE. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1009MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2000CDT FOR THE ENTIRE LIX CWA INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS OUT 20NM FROM SHORE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... INCLUDING GRAND ISLE AND TIMBALIER BAY... * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 217 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM 20 NM WEST OF TIMBALIER BAY TO 36 NM EAST OF GRAND ISLE...OR FROM 11 NM NORTHWEST OF TERREBONNE BAY TO 6 NM WEST OF PILOTTOWN... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING... AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 8KT 250FT... SW 8KT 500FT... SW 9KT 1KFT... SW 10KT 2KFT... SW 8KT 3KFT... SW 7KT 4KFT... S 7KT 5KFT... S 6KT MAX WIND...277/67KT 40.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 3700FT. INVERTED V SFC TO 980MB/900FT...V-SHAPED DRY TO 825MB/5700FT...MOIST LAYER 800 TO 700MB...V-SHAPED DRY ABV 700MB. LI -5. SBCAPE 1312 J/KG...P.W. 1.37 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 304/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291951Z AUTO 20005KT 9SM CLR 24/21 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE22 SLP089 P0025 T02440211 TSNO METAR KGAO 292003Z AUTO 15006KT TS CLR 26/20 A2979 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 291953Z 16009KT 6SM HZ SCT080 29/22 A2975 METAR KIPN 291955Z AUTO 23009KT CLR 28/22 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291955Z AUTO 21010KT 7SM CLR 31/23 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291955Z AUTO 24005KT 10SM 29/20 A2978 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291955Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM BKN070 29/21 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291955Z AUTO 21005G10KT 10SM FEW028 FEW033 SCT055 28/22 A2979 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...LA AREA VFR BKN035CB...AREAS 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT045 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MS AREA...VFR SCT-BKN035...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT040 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT040...ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT PSBL FC/WATERSPOUT. AFT 03Z INCRG COVERG MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G35KT A050...MOVG N-S. KHUM 291818Z 2918/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 TEMPO 2918/2921 VRB15G25KT 4SM TSRA BKN040CB FM292100 19005KT P6SM SCT040CB FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 FM301500 16005KT P6SM BKN030CB KHSA 291730Z 2918/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040CB FM300300 VRB02KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB FM301500 15005KT P6SM BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1500 CDT...A LARGE LN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDD FM CALLIOU BAY TO MOUTH OF MS RIVER. FQT LGTNG...VRY HVY RAFL AND PSBL SMALL HAIL THESE STORMS....LN MOVG SE 9KT. NO LGTNG WITHIN 50NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.35 FT AT 1453 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.26 FT AT 2214 CDT. WYCM6 2.28 FT AT 1453 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.2F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........54 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW TEMP............83 83 83 RH..............69 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 CEILINGS........S30........ SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 81 80 80 79 78 RH..............69 71 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 78 81 83 84 84 RH..............84 78 65 61 59 59 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 3400 2800 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 1040 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.11/LIX