FNUS74 KLIX 292108 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 408 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1600 CDT...A 1007MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ORIENTED WNW-ESE FM KBTR-KASD-20S KGPT TO CEDAR KEY FL...NRLY STNRY. 1011MB HIGH NR 25N/87W. UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO MOVE S TWDS THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX CST TWD SFC TROF. TSTMS TO CONT INCRG IN COVERG AND INTENSITY THRU RMNDR OF AFTN/ERLY EVE. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1009MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2000CDT FOR THE ENTIRE LIX CWA INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS OUT 20NM FROM SHORE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... INCLUDING GRAND ISLE AND TIMBALIER BAY... UNTIL 415 PM CDT .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 8KT 250FT... S 7KT 500FT...SSW 8KT 1KFT... SW 11KT 2KFT... SW 12KT 3KFT... SW 10KT 4KFT... S 9KT 5KFT...SSW 9KT MAX WIND...284/79KT 40.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 4000FT. DRY SFC TO 925MB/5700FT...MOIST LAYER 800 TO 700MB...V-SHAPED DRY ABV 700MB. LI -3. SBCAPE 803 J/KG...P.W. 1.41 IN. 75R30 STM MOTION 280/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 292051Z AUTO 25006KT 7SM -RA CLR 25/22 A2980 RMK AO2 RAB22E31B47 SLP090 P0000 60047 T02500217 58006 TSNO METAR KGAO 292103Z AUTO 10013G17KT VCTS CLR 26/21 A2980 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 292055Z 19009KT 5SM -TSRA SCT040 BKN100 26/23 A2976 METAR KIPN 292100Z AUTO 23010KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 292055Z AUTO VRB05KT 8SM FEW023 29/23 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 292055Z AUTO 24006KT 10SM 28/21 A2978 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 292055Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM FEW095 29/22 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 292055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW030 SCT065 BKN095 28/22 A2978 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...LA AREA MFR BKN025CB...AREAS 1SM +TSRA G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT045 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MS AREA...VFR SCT-BKN035...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT040 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT040...ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT PSBL FC/WATERSPOUT. AFT 03Z INCRG COVERG MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G35KT A050...MOVG N-S. KHUM 291818Z 2918/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 TEMPO 2918/2921 VRB15G25KT 4SM TSRA BKN040CB FM292100 19005KT P6SM SCT040CB FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 FM301500 16005KT P6SM BKN030CB KHSA 292029Z 2920/3018 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 2920/2923 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM300300 VRB02KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB FM301500 15005KT P6SM BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1600 CDT...A LARGE LN OF STG TSTMS XTNDD FM CAILLOU BAY TO MOUTH OF MS RIVER. FQT LGTNG...VRY HVY RAFL AND PSBL SMALL HAIL THESE STORMS....LN MOVG SE 5KT. NO LGTNG WITHIN 50NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.20 FT AT 1540 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 2212 CDT. WYCM6 2.05 FT AT 1540 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.15 FT AT 0012 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.2F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW TEMP............83 83 RH..............70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 CEILINGS........S30.... SEAS............2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 82 81 81 80 79 RH..............69 69 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 79 81 82 83 83 RH..............82 79 74 72 70 70 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 6 S 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 3400 2800 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 1040 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MEMORIAL DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.12/LIX