FNUS74 KLIX 292224 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 524 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1600 CDT...A 1007MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ORIENTED WNW-ESE FM JUST NORTH OF KIAH-KBTR-50NM S KMOB...NRLY STNRY. 1011MB HIGH NR 25N/87W. UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO MOVE S TWDS THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX CST TWD SFC TROF. SCT TO NMRS TSTMS COVERG ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL AND SERN LA AND COASTAL MS. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1008MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2000CDT FOR THE ENTIRE LIX CWA INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS OUT 20NM FROM SHORE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. * TWO SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS FOR PORTIONS OF... COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... INCLUDING GRAND ISLE AND TIMBALIER BAY... UNTIL 545 AND 615 PM CDT .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 9KT 250FT...SSW 10KT 500FT...SSW 11KT 1KFT... SW 13KT 2KFT... SW 15KT 3KFT... SW 11KT 4KFT...SSW 10KT 5KFT...SSW 8KT MAX WIND...289/74KT 40.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 4000FT. DRY SFC TO 9KFT...MOIST LAYER 9KFT TO 11.3KFT... LI -3. SBCAPE 1095 J/KG...P.W. 1.54 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 269/4KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 292151Z AUTO 24003KT 9SM -RA CLR 27/22 A2977 RMK AO2 SLP082 P0000 T02670222 TSNO METAR KGAO 292203Z AUTO 18006KT VCTS CLR 28/21 A2978 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S THRU N METAR KHSA 292153Z 25010G15KT 5SM -TSRA SCT017 BKN047 OVC060 20/17 A2976 METAR KIPN 292220Z AUTO 24011KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 292215Z AUTO 23011KT CLR 29/23 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 292215Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 29/21 A2977 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 292215Z AUTO 23007KT 10SM CLR 29/21 A2978 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 292215Z AUTO 22009KT 9SM CLR 30/22 A2975 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...LA AREA MFR BKN025CB...AREAS 1SM +TSRA G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT045 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MS AREA...VFR SCT-BKN035...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT040 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT040...ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT PSBL FC/WATERSPOUT. AFT 03Z INCRG COVERG MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G35KT A050...MOVG N-S. KHUM 292203Z 2922/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT050 FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 FM301500 16005KT P6SM BKN030CB KHSA 292200Z 2922/3018 19009KT 5SM BR VCTS SCT040CB BKN100 TEMPO 2922/2924 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM300300 VRB02KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB FM301500 15005KT P6SM BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1700 CDT...SCT TO NMRS STG AND EVEN SVR TSTMS ARE ACROSS MUCH OF SERN LA AND COASTAL MS. FQT TO CNTS LGTNG...VRY HVY RAFL...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THAT SAID THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT DIRECTLY IMPACTING OPERATIONS YET AND SHOULD REMAIN AWAY FROM THE SPILL LOCATION UNTIL LATE THIS EVNG. NO LGTNG WITHIN 75NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.94 FT AT 1637 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 2257 CDT. WYCM6 1.89 FT AT 1639 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.15 FT AT 2357 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84F. TIME (CDT) 5PM SKY (%).........54 WEATHER COV.....SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............83 RH..............70 20 FT WIND DIR..SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W TRANSP WIND SPD.6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 SEAS............2 SEA STATE.......LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 82 81 81 80 79 RH..............69 69 72 74 77 79 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 2 E 5 E 5 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 NW 1 E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 79 81 82 83 83 RH..............82 79 74 72 70 70 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 6 S 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 3400 2800 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 1040 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.13/LIX