FNUS74 KLIX 292320 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 620 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1800 CDT...A 1007MB TROF OF LOW PRES WAS ORIENTED WNW-ESE FM JUST NORTH OF KIAH-KBTR-50NM S KMOB...NRLY STNRY. 1011MB HIGH NR 25N/87W. UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO MOVE S TWDS THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX CST TWD SFC TROF. SCT TO NMRS TSTMS COVERG ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL AND SERN LA AND COASTAL MS. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1007MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #233 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2000CDT FOR THE ENTIRE LIX CWA INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS OUT 20NM FROM SHORE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 10KT 250FT...SSW 10KT 500FT...SSW 11KT 1KFT... SW 12KT 2KFT... SW 14KT 3KFT... SW 10KT 4KFT...SSW 9KT 5KFT...SSW 8KT MAX WIND...288/67KT 40.4KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 4000FT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN...LI -3. SBCAPE 1095 J/KG. P.W. 1.49 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 269/5KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 292251Z AUTO 19004KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2976 RMK AO2 RAE2157 SLP076 P0000 T02720217 TSNO METAR KGAO 292303Z AUTO 20010KT CLR 28/22 A2976 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S THRU N PWINO METAR KHSA 292248Z 34007KT 07SM SCT030 BKN110 21/18 A2978 RMK TE35 METAR KIPN 292315Z AUTO 24009KT 10SM SCT024 29/23 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 292315Z AUTO 22010KT 9SM CLR 29/23 A2977 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 292315Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 29/20 A2976 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 292315Z AUTO 23010KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2978 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 292315Z AUTO 24006KT 10SM FEW026 30/23 A2976 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...LA AREA MFR BKN025CB...AREAS 1SM +TSRA G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT045 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MS AREA...VFR SCT-BKN035...XCP LCL MVFR 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G45KT A100. AFT 04Z VFR SCT040 OVC120. AFT 07Z VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT040...ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT PSBL FC/WATERSPOUT. AFT 03Z INCRG COVERG MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN020CB G35KT A050...MOVG N-S. KHUM 292203Z 2922/3018 VRB05KT P6SM SCT050 FM300900 20003KT 4SM BR SCT250 FM301500 16005KT P6SM BKN030CB KHSA 292200Z 2922/3018 19009KT 5SM BR VCTS SCT040CB BKN100 TEMPO 2922/2924 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM300300 VRB02KT P6SM FEW080 FM301000 VRB02KT P6SM FEW035CB FM301500 15005KT P6SM BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN020 BKN-OVC040. LGT S WND XCP G35KT SCT TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...VFR BKN035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...SCT STG AND EVEN A FEW SVR TSTMS ARE ACROSS SERN LA AND COASTAL MS. FQT TO CNTS LGTNG...VRY HVY RAFL...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THAT SAID THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT DIRECTLY IMPACTING OPERATIONS YET AND SHOULD REMAIN AWAY FROM THE SPILL LOCATION UNTIL LATE THIS EVNG. NO LGTNG WITHIN 75NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.94 FT AT 1637 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 2257 CDT. WYCM6 1.89 FT AT 1639 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.15 FT AT 2357 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........54 40 40 40 40 40 40 38 38 38 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............82 82 82 81 81 81 81 80 80 79 79 78 RH..............69 69 72 72 72 74 77 77 79 79 82 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW E E E SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 2 2 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 79 81 82 83 83 RH..............82 79 74 72 70 70 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 6 S 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2600 2600 3400 2800 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 790 790 1040 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........44 42 42 42 43 43 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 81 80 79 78 78 RH..............72 74 74 77 79 79 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2600 2200 2200 2000 2000 MIX HGT (M).....850 790 670 670 610 610 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 SE 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 2 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100529.DEEPW.14/LIX