FNUS74 KLIX 301107 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 607 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...A WK 1009MB TROF WAS ORIENTED E-W ALG TH MS COAST NR THE MS SOUND ISLANDS...INTO SE LA NR KMSY...STNRY. AN UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO SPIN OVR THE LWR MS VALLEY AND WILL LIKELY ONSET STG TO SVR TSTMS OVR LAND AREAS LT THIS MORN...MOVG INTO THE CSTL WATERS THIS EVE/OVRNGT. FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS GLFMEX...1012MB FL W CST TO 1009MB TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 6KT 250FT...SSW 7KT 500FT...SSW 7KT 1KFT... SW 8KT 2KFT... SW 10KT 3KFT...WSW 10KT 4KFT...WSW 9KT 5KFT...WNW 8KT MAX WIND...271/70KT 40.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3000FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 4800FT. PSEUDO ABV 4800FT. INV-V TO 950MB...V-DRY TO 850MB...CONV CURVES TO 650MB...SATURATED ABV 650MB...LI -6. SBCAPE 2207 J/KG. P.W. 1.52 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 284/8KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 301051Z AUTO 12003KT 5SM BR CLR 24/22 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP101 T02390222 TSNO METAR KGAO 301103Z AUTO 07003KT 21/20 A2982 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 300155Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 20/19 A2980 RMK LAST METAR KIPN 301055Z AUTO 19008KT 10SM SCT020 27/23 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 301055Z AUTO 20008KT 9SM CLR 27/22 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 301055Z AUTO 25007KT 10SM 27/24 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 301055Z AUTO 21007KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301055Z AUTO 21006KT 10SM SCT027 SCT039 28/22 A2982 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK...AREAS MVFR VSBY 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z... LCL IFR 1/2SM FG MS CST TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...VFR SCT025 ISOLD SHRA TOPS 250. AFT 17Z VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR FEW040 BKN100. AFT 04Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...SCT MVFR 3SM SHRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 350. AFT 22Z...VFR SCT030 ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT TOPS 450. KHUM 300523Z 3006/3106 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM301300 11004KT P6SM FEW030 FM301800 19005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3020/3023 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB KHSA 300523Z 3006/3106 00000KT 5SM BR FEW250 TEMPO 3009/3013 2SM BR VV005 FM301300 15004KT P6SM FEW030 FM301800 19005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3021/3024 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT015...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 0600 CDT...SCT SHWRS AND ISOLD TSTMS INDICATED 75NM SW TO 55NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...CLOSEST 21NM NNW...MOVG N 16KT. LGTNG 45NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION. COVRG WAS INCRG PAST HR. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.60 FT AT 0523 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.05 FT AT 0954 CDT. WYCM6 1.48 FT AT 0523 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.46 FT AT 1255 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.2F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........38 51 51 51 51 51 51 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 78 79 81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............81 81 79 75 72 70 69 68 68 67 68 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 12 12 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S25............S30..........B30................ SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 48 48 48 56 56 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 79 79 79 RH..............70 73 74 76 77 77 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2400 2200 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 730 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 6 S 3 S 3 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 S 1 S 1 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM LC LC .MEMORIAL DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 36 36 36 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 82 82 83 83 RH..............78 76 71 69 67 68 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2600 2600 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....670 730 790 790 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100530.DEEPW.02/LIX