FNUS74 KLIX 301313 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 813 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...A 1010MB TROF WAS ORIENTED E-W ALG MS COAST NR THE MS SOUND ISLANDS...INTO SE LA NR KMSY...STNRY. AN UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO SPIN OVR THE LWR MS VALLEY AND WILL ONSET STG TO SVR TSTMS OVR LAND AREAS LT THIS MORN...MOVG INTO THE CSTL WATERS THIS EVE/OVRNGT. 1013MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27N/89.5W. FLAT 1MB PRES GRADIENT ERN GLFMEX...1012MB FL W CST TO HIGH. 4MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1009MB TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1011MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...INCLUDING MISSISSIPPI SOUND...UNTIL 830 AM CDT. AT 724 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...POSSIBLY PRODUCING A WATERSPOUT 12 NM SOUTHWEST OF MISSISSIPPI SOUND...OR ABOUT OVER CAT ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. THIS WATERSPOUT WILL BE NR 5 NM SOUTHWEST OF MS SOUND BY 830 AM CDT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 5KT 250FT... S 6KT 500FT... S 7KT 1KFT... SW 8KT 2KFT... SW 9KT 3KFT... SW 8KT 4KFT...WSW 6KT 5KFT...WNW 5KT MAX WIND...275/65KT 35.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3000FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 4800FT. PSEUDO ABV 4800FT. INV-V TO 950MB...V-DRY TO 850MB...CONV CURVES TO 650MB...SATURATED ABV 650MB...LI -5. SBCAPE 2167 J/KG. P.W. 1.56 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 274/7KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...050/03KT 1KFT...150/06KT 2KFT...205/07KT 3KFT...230/10KT 4KFT...230/14KT 6KFT...210/10KT MAX WIND...265/71KT 46KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 585FT...DRY LAPSE TO 3600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 4700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 4700FT. SATURATED TO 890MB/3600FT...DRY ABV 890MB...CONVG CURVES ABV 700MB...V-DRY ABV 570MB. LI -7. SBCAPE 2947 J/KG. P.W. 1.71 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 272/7KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 301251Z AUTO 15005KT 5SM HZ CLR 26/23 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP114 T02610228 TSNO METAR KGAO 301303Z AUTO 08003KT CLR 27/24 A2986 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E PWINO METAR KHSA 301255Z 03004KT 7SM CLR 22/21 A2986 METAR KIPN 301255Z AUTO 20009KT 10SM SCT022 SCT028 27/22 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 301255Z AUTO 20010KT 9SM FEW021 29/23 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 301255Z AUTO 25008KT 10SM 28/24 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 301255Z AUTO 22006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301255Z AUTO 21006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2985 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK...AREAS MVFR VSBY 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z... LCL IFR 1/2SM FG MS CST TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...VFR SCT025 ISOLD SHRA TOPS 250. AFT 17Z VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR FEW040 BKN100. AFT 04Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...SCT MVFR 3SM SHRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 350. AFT 22Z...VFR SCT030 ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT TOPS 450. KHUM 301129Z 3012/3112 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM301400 18004KT P6SM FEW030CB FM301700 19007KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3019/3023 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM302300 18004KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM310300 VRB03KT 6SM BR SKC KHSA 301129Z 3012/3112 VRB02KT P6SM SCT120 FM301600 17005KT P6SM FEW040CB FM301800 18006KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3021/3101 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM310100 15003KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM310400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT015...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT...BAND OF SCT-NMRS SHWRS AND TSTMS INDICATED 102NM SW TO 60NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...CLOSEST 36NM W...MOVG N 13KT. LGTNG 39NM W OF SPILL LOCATION. COVRG AND INTENSITY DECRG PAST HR. ISOLD NEW SHWRS DEVLPG 24NM S AND 32NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG N 12KT. LGTNG MAY DEVLP THESE CELLS BEFORE 0900 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.99 FT AT 0740 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.05 FT AT 0954 CDT. WYCM6 1.69 FT AT 0755 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.46 FT AT 1255 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.4F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........51 51 51 51 51 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............79 75 72 70 69 68 68 67 68 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S25......S30.......B30.................. SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 48 48 48 56 56 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 79 79 79 RH..............70 73 74 76 77 77 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2400 2200 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 730 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 6 S 3 S 3 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 S 1 S 1 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM LC LC .MEMORIAL DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 36 36 36 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 82 82 83 83 RH..............78 76 71 69 67 68 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2600 2600 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....670 730 790 790 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100530.DEEPW.04/LIX