FNUS74 KLIX 301507 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1007 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...A 1011MB TROF WAS ORIENTED E-W S OF THE MS SOUND ISLANDS...INTO SE LA NR KHUM...STNRY. AN UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO SPIN OVR THE LWR MS VALLEY. STG TO LCLLY SVR TSTMS OVR LAND AREAS LT THIS MORN...MOVG INTO THE CSTL WATERS THIS EVE/OVRNGT. 1013MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27N/90W. 2MB PRES GRADIENT N GLFMEX...HIGH TO TROF. 4MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1009MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1012MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 8KT 250FT... S 9KT 500FT... S 9KT 1KFT... S 10KT 2KFT...SSW 10KT 3KFT... SW 8KT 4KFT... SW 6KT 5KFT... W 4KT MAX WIND...275/65KT 35.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3300FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 5000FT. PSEUDO ABV 5000FT. INV-V TO 930MB...V-DRY TO 850MB...CONV CURVES TO 800MB...PARALLEL 4C CURVES ABV 800MB. LI -5. SBCAPE 1967 J/KG. P.W. 1.63 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 267/8KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 301451Z AUTO 19007KT 4SM -RA BR SCT031 26/24 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP121 P0007 60009 T02560239 50016 TSNO METAR KGAO 301443Z AUTO 20004KT SCT024 SCT031 30/22 A2987 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E THRU SW PWINO METAR KHSA 301451Z 00000KT 7SM SCT039 BKN046 27/23 A2988 METAR KIPN 301455Z AUTO 23007KT 10SM CLR 28/21 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 301455Z AUTO 21009KT 9SM FEW024 31/22 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 301455Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM 28/23 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 301455Z AUTO 19015KT 10SM SCT023 SCT036 BKN070 28/23 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301455Z AUTO 15017G25KT 10SM SCT023 BKN028 BKN033 27/21 A2987 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 ISOLD SHRA TOPS 300. AFT 17Z VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR FEW040 BKN100. AFT 04Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...SCT MVFR 3SM SHRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 350. AFT 22Z...VFR SCT030 ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT TOPS 450. KHUM 301129Z 3012/3112 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM301400 18004KT P6SM FEW030CB FM301700 19007KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3019/3023 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM302300 18004KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM310300 VRB03KT 6SM BR SKC KHSA 301129Z 3012/3112 VRB02KT P6SM SCT120 FM301600 17005KT P6SM FEW040CB FM301800 18006KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3021/3101 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM310100 15003KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM310400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT015...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1000 CDT...ECHOES HAVE DIMISHED TO ISOLATED VERY LGT SHWRS WITHIN 50NM OF SPILL LOCATION. NUMRS SHWRS/TSTMS XTND ALG S LA CST FM LWR ATCHAFALAYA BAY TO MOUTH OF MS RVR...AREAL MOVMT NRLY STNRY...CELL MOVMT ENE 8KT. FQT LGTNG SVRL CELLS ALG THE CST. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...67NM NW. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.06 FT AT 0939 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.08 FT AT 0939 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.46 FT AT 1255 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.4F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........51 51 51 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 83 83 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............72 70 69 68 68 67 68 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 4 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 48 48 48 56 56 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 79 79 79 RH..............70 73 74 76 77 77 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2400 2200 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 730 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 6 S 3 S 3 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 S 1 S 1 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM LC LC .MEMORIAL DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 36 36 36 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 82 82 83 83 RH..............78 76 71 69 67 68 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2600 2600 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....670 730 790 790 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100530.DEEPW.06/LIX