FNUS74 KLIX 301812 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 112 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1300 CDT...A 1011MB TROF WAS ALG THE LA AND S OF THE MS CST...NRLY STNRY. AN UPPER LVL LOW PRES SYS CONTS TO SPIN OVR THE LWR MS VALLEY. 1014MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27N/90W. 3MB PRES GRADIENT N GLFMEX...HIGH TO TROF. 5MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1009MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1013MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 7KT 250FT... S 7KT 500FT...SSW 8KT 1KFT... SW 9KT 2KFT... SW 11KT 3KFT... S 11KT 4KFT... S 10KT 5KFT...SSE 10KT MAX WIND...268/74KT 40.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4800FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5900FT. PSEUDO ABV 5900FT. INV-V TO 880MB...V-DRY ABV. LI -4. SBCAPE 1357 J/KG. P.W. 1.46 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 258/8KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 301751Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM CLR 26/22 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP125 60009 T02610217 10267 20233 51003 TSNO METAR KGAO 301803Z AUTO 15006KT CLR 30/22 A2988 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE SW AND NW PWINO METAR KHSA 301755Z 13005KT 10SM SCT040 BKN100 27/22 A2989 METAR KIPN 301755Z AUTO 19005KT 10SM FEW028 28/22 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 301755Z AUTO 21010KT 9SM FEW026 30/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 301755Z AUTO 29005KT 10SM 28/23 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 301755Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM FEW024 SCT029 BKN041 29/23 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301550Z AUTO 34009KT 2SM HZ FEW003 SCT031 BKN043 25/21 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT 1/2SM +TSRA BKN016CB G40KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR FEW040 BKN100. AFT 04Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020 OVC100...SCT MVFR 3SM SHRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 350. AFT 22Z...VFR SCT030 ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT TOPS 380. KHUM 301725Z 3018/3118 19007KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3018/3022 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM310300 VRB03KT 6SM BR SKC FM311000 VRB03KT 3SM BR SCT010 FM311500 18005KT P6SM SCT020 KHSA 301725Z 3018/3118 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT015 BKN040CB TEMPO 3018/3022 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB FM310100 15003KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM310400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250 FM311400 18005KT P6SM SCT020= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT015...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1300 CDT...THE AREA OF TSTMS NR THE MOUTH OF THE MS RVR HAS MOVED INTO THE CSTL WATERS 15-20NM FM SHORE...67NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 12KT. CELLS WERE GENLY WEAKNG WITH ISOLD LGTNG. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...73NM W. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LKLY WEAKEN AND DISPT BEFORE REACHING SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.02 FT AT 1211 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.31 FT AT 2200 CDT. WYCM6 2.61 FT AT 1241 CDT FALLING OFF HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.3F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 RH..............67 67 70 20 FT WIND......S 6 W 4 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....850 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 CEILINGS........S30............... SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 48 48 48 56 56 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 79 79 79 RH..............70 72 74 77 77 78 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 5 SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2400 2200 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 730 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 6 S 3 S 3 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 S 1 S 1 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM LC CH CH CH LC .MEMORIAL DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 36 36 36 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 82 82 83 83 RH..............78 76 71 69 67 67 20 FT WIND......SE 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 4 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2600 2600 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....670 730 790 790 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............1 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100530.DEEPW.09/LIX