FNUS74 KLIX 302112 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 412 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1600 CDT...A 1012MB TROF WAS ORIENTED NW-SE FM CNTRL MS...OFF THE MS CST TO NR 27N/86W...MOVG N. 1014MB HIGH HIGH CNTRD NR 27N/89W. 2MB PRES GRADIENT N GLFMEX...HIGH TO TROF. 2MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1012MB TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1013MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...5% CHC SVR DURG AFTN HRS OVER LAND...5% CHC SVR OVR GLFMEX EVE/NIGHT. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WSW 6KT 250FT...WSW 7KT 500FT...WSW 8KT 1KFT... SW 8KT 2KFT... SW 11KT 3KFT... S 13KT 4KFT... S 14KT 5KFT... S 16KT MAX WIND...262/76KT 40.5KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4900FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5700FT. PSEUDO ABV 5700FT. SEMI-MOIST TO 875MB...V-DRY ABV. LI -4. SBCAPE 1181 J/KG. P.W. 1.36 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 249/7KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 302051Z AUTO 21009KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP118 T02830217 58007 TSNO METAR KGAO 302103Z AUTO 19007KT TS 31/23 A2987 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NE METAR KHSA 302050Z 00000KT 10SM SCT110 27/21 A2987 METAR KIPN 302100Z AUTO 22008KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 302055Z AUTO 24008KT 9SM FEW027 30/22 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 302055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 28/23 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 302055Z AUTO 23009KT 10SM SCT029 BKN110 29/22 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301550Z AUTO 34009KT 2SM HZ FEW003 SCT031 BKN043 25/21 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT-BKN035 BKN-OVC100...ISOLD 1SM +TSRA BKN016CB G40KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR FEW040 BKN100. AFT 04Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020 BKN100...SCT MVFR 3SM SHRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 350. AFT 22Z...VFR SCT030 ISOLD MVFR 1SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT TOPS 380. KHUM 301725Z 3018/3118 19007KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 3018/3022 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM310300 VRB03KT 6SM BR SKC FM311000 VRB03KT 3SM BR SCT010 FM311500 18005KT P6SM SCT020 KHSA 301725Z 3018/3118 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT015 BKN040CB TEMPO 3018/3022 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB FM310100 15003KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM310400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250 FM311400 18005KT P6SM SCT020= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT015...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1600 CDT...AN ISOLD SHWR DEVLPD 47NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 12KT. AREA OF TSTMS DEVLPG RAPIDLY FM 48-102NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 15KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...71NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 15KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.23 FT AT 1542 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.31 FT AT 2200 CDT. WYCM6 2.21 FT AT 1542 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.27 FT AT 0114 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.5F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 RH..............65 67 20 FT WIND DIR..W W 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 CEILINGS........S30.... SEAS............2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 48 48 48 56 56 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 80 80 79 80 80 RH..............69 74 78 79 77 77 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 5 SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2400 2200 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 730 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SE 3 SE 9 SE 9 SE 12 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 SE 1 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM LC CH CH CH LC .MEMORIAL DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 36 36 36 39 39 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 82 83 83 82 RH..............79 77 72 70 70 72 20 FT WIND......SE 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 4 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2600 2600 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....670 730 790 790 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............1 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100530.DEEPW.12/LIX