FNAK79 PAFG 011302
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
502 AM AKDT TUE JUN 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2255 AKDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE
TODAY.  THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS
THIS MORNING AND A BETTER CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
LIKELY CONTAIN GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL. THE
THERMAL TROUGH SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE ON WEDNESDAY
WHICH WILL REDUCE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-3000 FT AGL WITH MULTIPLE WEAK LOW LEVEL
                    INVERSIONS IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 8500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 2 TO 5 MPH BY
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL LOWERING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-75 PERCENT). CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER  WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MATTFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100531.TOKLA.01/AFG