FNUS71 KBTV 311945 FWSBTV SPOT FORECAST FOR OXBOW FIRE...NYS DEC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 345 PM EDT MON MAY 31 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1520 EDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS FRANKLIN CLINTON COUNTY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. THIS WILL CHANGE THE WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH...ALONG WITH INCREASING THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE...WILL INCREASE BETWEEN 50 AND 60 PERCENT THIS EVENING...AS SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 3 TO 7 MPH CONTINUE. MEANWHILE...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EVENT IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ONE INCH IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 100 PERCENT BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AT 8 TO 12 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............36 52 54 67 91 97 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................76 73 68 66 65 63 MIN HUMIDITY........45 57 73 81 81 87 WIND (20 FT)........SW 9 SW 5 SW 2 SW 2 S 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 30 30 30 70 70 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 96 87 76 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................62 66 67 68 69 69 MIN HUMIDITY........97 87 84 78 70 68 WIND (20 FT)........SW 3 SW 5 W 6 W 6 NW 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 10 10 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).....70 90 90 90 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...TABER REQUESTED BY...FR HARJUNG TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100531.OXBOW.01/BTV