FNUS74 KLIX 311014 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 514 AM CDT MON MAY 31 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0500 CDT...AN UPR LVL DISTRBNC MOVG THRU THE REGION WAS TRIGG AREAS OF TSTMS OVER LAND FM ATCHAFALAYA BAY...THRU METRO N.O. AREA...TO NR MOBILE BAY ALG 1013MB SFC TROF. FLAT PRES GRADIENT OVR GLFMEX WITH 1015MB HIGH RDG ACRS ERN HLF GLFMEX. 1011MB LOW OFF LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1014MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 12KT 250FT...SSW 11KT 500FT... S 11KT 1KFT... S 11KT 2KFT... SW 10KT 3KFT... SW 8KT 4KFT...WSW 7KT 5KFT... W 5KT MAX WIND...257/57KT 40.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3200FT...INVERSION TO 5300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5300FT. INV-V TO 950MB/1800FT...V-DRY ABV. LI -5. SBCAPE 1926 J/KG. P.W. 1.10 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 253/7KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 310951Z AUTO 19005KT 8SM CLR 25/23 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP139 T02500228 TSNO METAR KGAO 311003Z AUTO 00000KT 24/22 A2993 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W THRU N PWINO METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 310955Z AUTO 14009KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 310955Z AUTO 19013KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 310955Z AUTO 22005G11KT 10SM 27/23 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 310955Z AUTO 20011KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 310955Z AUTO 22011KT 10SM SCT024 SCT046 28/22 A2993 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT-BKN022 BKN050...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G25KT TOPS 400. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT025...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025 TOPS 350. KHUM 310859Z 3109/0106 17003KT P6SM SCT040 SCT050 BKN060 TEMPO 3109/3112 00000KT 5SM BR BKN250 FM311200 VRB03KT 2SM BR SCT010 FM311400 20005KT P6SM SCT020 PROB30 3118/3124 TSRA BKN050CB KHSA 310812Z 3108/0106 VRB02KT P6SM VCSH FEW025 BKN250 FM311400 21005KT P6SM SCT020 PROB30 3118/3124 TSRA BKN050CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 0500 CDT...ISOLD SHWRS WERE DEVLPG FM 15NM NE OF PASS LA LOUTRE...44NM NW OF SPILL LOCATION TO A MUCH LARGER AREA OF TSTMS NR MOBILE BAY...110NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION. AN ISOLD SHWR WAS 30NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 12KT. OTHER AREAS OF SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS WERE OVR INTERIOR SE LA...MOVG NE 10KT. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...98NM NNE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.28 FT AT 0438 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.03 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.88 FT AT 0423 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.53 FT AT 1355 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.8F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........M 56 36 36 36 36 36 36 39 39 39 39 39 WEATHER COV.....M SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....M TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............M 79 79 80 81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............M 79 79 77 74 72 70 70 67 67 67 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR..M S S S S S S SW SW SW W S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..M 6 7 6 6 6 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.M 10 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...M 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 MIX HGT (KM)....M 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.M S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.M 9 10 10 10 7 7 7 5 5 5 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).M 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).M 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........F25............S25................................. SEAS............M 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......M LC LC LC LC LC LC LC SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........39 36 36 36 43 43 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 72 72 74 77 78 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 SE 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2000 1900 1900 1900 1800 MIX HGT (M).....670 610 580 580 580 550 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 2 S 5 S 8 S 8 S 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 S 2 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 40 40 40 30 30 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 84 84 RH..............78 74 69 67 65 65 20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 2100 2400 2400 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....550 640 730 730 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 S 2 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1 S 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100531.DEEPW.01/LIX