FNUS74 KLIX 311411 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 911 AM CDT MON MAY 31 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0900 CDT...1015MB SFC TROF FM KMCB-KASD-28N/87W. SFC HIGH 1017MB CNTRD NR 28N/90W RDGG FM W FL CST. 1MB GRADIENT HIGH TO TROF. 4MB GRAD W GLFMEX HIGH TO 1012MB LOW IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE LA COAST... AT 850 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...FROM 18 NM NORTHEAST OF GRAND ISLE TO 35 NM SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. OIL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS PERSONNEL SHOULD SEEK COVER FROM THESE STORMS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE LOUISIANA SOUNDS... AT 859 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS AND LIGHTNING FROM 8 NM NORTHWEST OF BRETON SOUND TO 17 NM EAST OF BARATARIA BAY...MOVING EAST AT 5 KNOTS. INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. OIL CLEAN UP PERSONNEL SHOULD SEEK COVER FROM THESE STORMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 10KT 250FT...SSW 10KT 500FT...SSW 10KT 1KFT... SW 6KT 2KFT... SW 6KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT... SE 7KT 5KFT... SE 7KT MAX WIND...260/66KT 46.0KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1800FT...SHALLOW LAPSE TO 5900FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5900FT. INV-V TO 980MB/1100FT...V-DRY ABV. LI -6. SBCAPE 2198 J/KG. P.W. 0.81 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 233/4KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...215/14KT 2KFT...200/15KT 3KFT...210/14KT 4KFT...220/10KT 5KFT...215/11KT MAX WIND...250/66KT 46KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 500FT. NRLY SATURATED ENTIRE COLUMN. LI -7.6. SBCAPE 2564 J/KG. P.W. 1.99 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 267/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 311351Z AUTO 16005KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP157 T02830233 TSNO METAR KGAO 311403Z AUTO 23006KT CLR 30/23 A2999 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE E AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 311350Z 00000KT 10SM TS SCT012 BKN100 27/24 A2999 METAR KIPN 311355Z AUTO 19007KT 10SM CLR 29/21 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 311355Z AUTO 23008KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 311355Z AUTO 21007G12KT 9SM 27/21 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 311355Z AUTO 23010KT 10SM SCT022 SCT027 28/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 311355Z AUTO 21008KT 10SM FEW027 SCT032 28/22 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025 BKN060...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G35KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020 BKN250...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...MORE NUMRS NR MOUTH OF MS RVR. KHUM 311257Z 3113/0112 VRB03KT 6SM BR FEW020 SCT080 BKN250 FM311400 20005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN100 FM311700 18005KT 6SM HZ SCT035 FM312300 21005KT 5SM HZ SCT250 FM010500 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 311301Z 3113/0112 VRB02KT P6SM VCSH FEW025 BKN120 BKN250 TEMPO 3113/3115 -SHRA BKN025CB OVC250 FM311530 21005KT P6SM SCT020 FM010700 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 0900 CDT...ISOLD SHORT-LIVED SHWRS WERE DEVLPG AND DISPTG GENLY N AND W OF SPILL LOCATION BYD 40NM...MOVG NE 5KT. BAND OF TSTMS INTENSFYG OVR CNTRL PLAQUEMINES PARISH...ALG CST NR GRAND ISLE AND PT FOURCHON TO 93NM SW OF PT FOURCHON...MOVG NE 5KT. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...87NM WNW...NR EMPIRE LA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.80 FT AT 0840 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.89 FT AT 0853 CDT. WYCM6 1.53 FT AT 0839 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.93 FT AT 1410 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 36 36 36 39 39 39 39 39 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............74 72 70 70 67 67 67 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 7 7 7 5 5 5 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........>80.....S25........................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........39 36 36 36 43 43 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 72 72 74 77 78 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 SE 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2000 1900 1900 1900 1800 MIX HGT (M).....670 610 580 580 580 550 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 2 S 5 S 8 S 8 S 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 S 2 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 40 40 40 30 30 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 84 84 RH..............78 74 69 67 65 65 20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 2100 2400 2400 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....550 640 730 730 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 S 2 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1 S 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100531.DEEPW.05/LIX