FNUS74 KLIX 311613 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1113 AM CDT MON MAY 31 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...1015MB SFC TROF WAS ALG THE N GLFMEX CST...NRLY STNRY. 1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/89W RDGG FM W FL CST. 2MB GRADIENT HIGH TO TROF. 4MB GRAD W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1013MB INVERTED TROF IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE CHANDELEUR SOUND... AT 1050 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WINDS TO 25 KNOTS AND LIGHTNING FROM 4 NM NORTHWEST OF SHIP ISLAND TO 13 NM EAST OF YSCLOSKEY...MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS. INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. OIL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS PERSONNEL SHOULD TAKE COVER FROM THESE STORMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 6KT 250FT... SW 7KT 500FT... SW 7KT 1KFT... SW 8KT 2KFT... SW 5KT 3KFT... S 9KT 4KFT... SE 11KT 5KFT... SE 12KT MAX WIND...256/60KT 46.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 9000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 9000FT. INV-V TO 1000MB/400FT...V-DRY ABV. LI -5. SBCAPE 1514 J/KG. P.W. 0.51 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION 240/5KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 311551Z AUTO 31007KT 10SM FEW035 25/21 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP167 T02500211 TSNO METAR KGAO 311603Z AUTO 31006KT SCT030 SCT037 31/22 A3000 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE THRU S PWINO METAR KHSA 311556Z 00000KT 10SM SCT024 SCT041 23/22 A3000 METAR KIPN 311555Z AUTO 16006KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 311555Z AUTO 20007KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 311555Z AUTO 25007KT 10SM 28/22 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 311555Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 311555Z AUTO 32007KT 10SM SCT029 28/23 A3001 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025 BKN060...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G35KT TOPS 450. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020 BKN250...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...XCP LN 1/2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 450 G25KT WITHIN 20NM CNTRLN FM MOUTH OF MS RVR TO KPQL INCLDG CHANDELEUR AND BRETON SOUNDS. KHUM 311257Z 3113/0112 VRB03KT 6SM BR FEW020 SCT080 BKN250 FM311400 20005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN100 FM311700 18005KT 6SM HZ SCT035 FM312300 21005KT 5SM HZ SCT250 FM010500 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 311541Z 3116/0112 VRB02KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 FM311600 21005KT P6SM SCT020 SCT050 FM010700 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 1100 CDT...ISOLD SHWRS CONTD TO MOVE NE 7KT FM 36NM S TO 31NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION...CLOSEST APRCH 20NM SSE. NO CHG IN INTENSITY OR COVERG. BAND OF TSTMS ALG LA CST BLO BARATARIA BAY TO 45NM SW OF PT FOURCHON...MOVG NE 6KT. ANOTHER NARROW BAND OF TSTMS MOVG INTO CHANDELEUR SOUND FM KGPT TO YSCLOSKEY...MOVG NE 7KT. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...56NM NW...NR PILOTTOWN. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.86 FT AT 1054 CDT FALLING OFF HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.83 FT AT 1038 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.93 FT AT 1410 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.7F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........20 20 20 20 20 20 20 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............70 70 67 67 67 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 5 5 5 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........S25........................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........20 25 25 25 37 37 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD S CHC S CHC S CHC ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 72 72 74 77 78 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2000 1900 1900 1900 1800 MIX HGT (M).....670 610 580 580 580 550 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 2 S 5 S 8 S 8 S 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 S 2 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........37 40 40 40 30 30 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 84 84 RH..............78 74 69 67 65 65 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 2100 2400 2400 2800 2700 MIX HGT (M).....550 640 730 730 850 820 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 6 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 S 2 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 3 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1 S 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100531.DEEPW.07/LIX